Match details. League 1. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. East Kilbride FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L D. Montrose FC have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L.
The numbers. East Kilbride FC score 2.2 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets. East Kilbride FC average 0.4 corners and 0.2 cards a game. Montrose FC score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Montrose FC average 0.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make East Kilbride FC the likelier winners, but East Kilbride FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Montrose FC.
The case against. Montrose FC's record still gives them 50% to win.
The read. East Kilbride FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make East Kilbride FC the likelier winners; East Kilbride FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Montrose FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 83%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.17, 76% on the records (East Kilbride FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6; Montrose FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6). Backup: East Kilbride FC Over 0.5 Goals at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: East Kilbride FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Montrose FC Under 1.5 goals (Montrose FC's own games don't back it (2 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (East Kilbride FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: East Kilbride FC 2-1 Montrose FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).