Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Cappielow Park, Greenock. The referee is J. Wilkie.
Form. Greenock Morton FC have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L. Queens Park FC have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L.
The numbers. Greenock Morton FC score 0.6 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Greenock Morton FC average 3.9 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Queens Park FC score 0.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Queens Park FC average 4.6 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
The case against. Greenock Morton FC's record still gives them 40% to win.
The read. Queens Park FC to win. A tight game. Queens Park FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Queens Park FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Greenock Morton FC 0-1 Queens Park FC (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).