Match details. 1. Liga. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L. Polonia Warszawa have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L W.
The numbers. Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki average 4.9 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Polonia Warszawa score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Polonia Warszawa average 5.9 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
The case against. Polonia Warszawa's record still gives them 24% to win.
The read. Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki the likelier winners; Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The bets. Best bet: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki or Draw at 1.57, 74% on the records (Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; Polonia Warszawa failed to win 5 of 9). Backup: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki or Both Teams Score at 1.25. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Polonia Warszawa Under 1.5 goals (Polonia Warszawa's own games don't back it (3 of 9)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1-0 Polonia Warszawa (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).