Match details. Division 2. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Gottne IF have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L. Taftea IK have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W.
The numbers. Gottne IF score 1.6 and concede 2.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Gottne IF average 0.0 cards a game. Taftea IK score 1.6 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Taftea IK average 6.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
The case against. Gottne IF's record still gives them 40% to win.
The read. Taftea IK to win. An open game. Taftea IK are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Taftea IK. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 90%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Taftea IK or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Gottne IF 1-2 Taftea IK (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).