Match details. Serie C, Group C. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time.
Form. Inter Milano U23 have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L. SS Monopoli have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D D.
The numbers. Inter Milano U23 score 1.7 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Inter Milano U23 average 12.4 shots (5.4 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. SS Monopoli score 0.5 and concede one a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. SS Monopoli average 4.4 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
The case against. SS Monopoli's record still gives them 34% to win.
The read. Inter Milano U23 to win. A tight game. Inter Milano U23 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Inter Milano U23. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Inter Milano U23 or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Inter Milano U23 or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Inter Milano U23 1-0 SS Monopoli (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).