Match details. Serie C, Group B. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time.
Form. US Pianese have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D L. ASD Pineto Calcio have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D W.
The numbers. US Pianese score 0.8 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. US Pianese average 11.7 shots (4.4 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game. ASD Pineto Calcio score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. ASD Pineto Calcio average 10.4 shots (4.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.24, 76% on the records (US Pianese: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9; ASD Pineto Calcio: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: US Pianese or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); ASD Pineto Calcio or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: US Pianese 1-1 ASD Pineto Calcio (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).