ITALY - SERIE C, GROUP A
13:30Sat 17 Oct
ACL
AL
AC Carpi vs AC Lumezzane
CLASS E
THE READ
Match details. Serie C, Group A. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time.
Form. AC Carpi have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D D. AC Lumezzane have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W D.
The numbers. AC Carpi score 1.4 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. AC Carpi average 9.9 shots (4.1 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.8 cards a game. AC Lumezzane score 1.2 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. AC Lumezzane average 13.4 shots (5.1 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.
The read. A draw. Little separates them, and both sides draw often.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: AC Lumezzane or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); AC Lumezzane or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); AC Lumezzane win or both teams score (the call is a draw). Predicted score: AC Carpi 1-1 AC Lumezzane (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
AC Lumezzane or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.40
ACC 4 of 5 (80%) · ACL 6 of 9 (67%)78.5%
AC Lumezzane scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AC Carpi trailed or failed to win in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AC Lumezzane: only games against sides at AC Carpi's level · AC Carpi: only games against sides at AC Lumezzane's level
Double Chance: Draw or AC LumezzaneLEANPAGE ONLY
1.56
ACC 6 of 9 (67%) · ACL 8 of 9 (89%)58%
AC Lumezzane unbeaten in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AC Carpi failed to win 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · AC Lumezzane: only games against sides at AC Carpi's level · AC Carpi: only games against sides at AC Lumezzane's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ACC 8 of 9 (89%) · ACL 9 of 9 (100%)95.2%
AC Carpi: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AC Lumezzane: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · AC Carpi: only games against sides at AC Lumezzane's level · AC Lumezzane: only games against sides at AC Carpi's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.10
ACC 8 of 9 (89%) · ACL 8 of 9 (89%)87.9%
AC Carpi: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AC Lumezzane: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · AC Carpi: only games against sides at AC Lumezzane's level · AC Lumezzane: only games against sides at AC Carpi's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.71
ACC 6 of 9 (67%) · ACL 5 of 9 (56%)52.9%
AC Carpi: both scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AC Lumezzane: both scored in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 61% · AC Carpi: only games against sides at AC Lumezzane's level · AC Lumezzane: only games against sides at AC Carpi's level
AC CARPI GOALS
AC Carpi Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.25
ACC 7 of 9 (78%) · ACL 6 of 9 (67%)75.7%
AC Carpi scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AC Lumezzane conceded in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · AC Carpi: only games against sides at AC Lumezzane's level · AC Lumezzane: only games against sides at AC Carpi's level
AC LUMEZZANE GOALS
AC Lumezzane Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.37
ACC 6 of 9 (67%) · ACL 8 of 9 (89%)69%
AC Lumezzane scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AC Carpi conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · AC Lumezzane: only games against sides at AC Carpi's level · AC Carpi: only games against sides at AC Lumezzane's level
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.39
ACC 9 of 9 (100%) · ACL 6 of 9 (67%)83.3%
AC Carpi: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AC Lumezzane: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · on half-time scores · AC Carpi: only games against sides at AC Lumezzane's level · AC Lumezzane: only games against sides at AC Carpi's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ACC 7 of 9 (78%) · ACL 8 of 9 (89%)83.3%
AC Carpi's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AC Lumezzane's games: over 3.5 cards in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · AC Carpi: only games against sides at AC Lumezzane's level · AC Lumezzane: only games against sides at AC Carpi's level
Left off the list: AC Lumezzane or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); AC Lumezzane or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); AC Lumezzane win or both teams score (the call is a draw); AC Carpi Under 1.5 goals (AC Lumezzane's own games don't back it (4 of 9)); AC Lumezzane 1UP (the call is a draw); AC Lumezzane or Over 1.5 Goals (the call is a draw)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.2%
AC Carpi goals →
AC Lumezzane goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.9%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.8%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
AC CARPILDDWLDDLLL0.70 PPG
AC LUMEZZANEDLWLDDWLWD1.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AC CARPI HOMExAC LUMEZZANE AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME1.202.00CONCEDED A GAME1.3010%CLEAN SHEETS30%3.70CORNERS A GAME4.302.80CARDS A GAME2.80
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.67POINTS A GAME1.50-0.89GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.12-2.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.50.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.69LEAGUE GAMES8
AC Lumezzane: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
AC LUMEZZANE 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
80%
OKAY · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
76%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
84%
NO · 85/90
AC CARPI OR DRAW
58%
NO · 80/85
AC LUMEZZANE OR DRAW
84%
OKAY · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
AC CARPIxAC LUMEZZANE
5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.202.20CONCEDED A GAME1.003.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE60%5.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.06.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.4
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
AC Carpi have scored in 80% of their games.
AC Lumezzane have scored in 70% of their games.
AC Carpi kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
AC Lumezzane kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards