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NORWAY - 3. DIVISION, GROUP 6
Drobak-Frogn crestDFDRO
13:00Sat 17 Oct
ELVElverum crestELV

Drobak-Frogn vs Elverum

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. 3. Division, Group 6. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.

Form. Drobak-Frogn have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D. Elverum have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L.

The numbers. Drobak-Frogn score three and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Drobak-Frogn average 3.8 corners and 1.4 cards a game. Elverum score 3.2 and concede 2.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Elverum average 6.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

The case against. Elverum's record still gives them 42% to win.

The read. Drobak-Frogn to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Drobak-Frogn the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Drobak-Frogn. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 85%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Elverum or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Drobak-Frogn); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Elverum or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Drobak-Frogn). Predicted score: Drobak-Frogn 2-1 Elverum (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Drobak-Frogn or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
DRO 5 of 5 (100%) · ELV 8 of 8 (100%)100%
Drobak-Frogn: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Elverum: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Drobak-Frogn: only games against sides at Elverum's level · Elverum: only games against sides at Drobak-Frogn's level
Drobak-Frogn or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
DRO 5 of 5 (100%) · ELV 7 of 8 (88%)93.8%
Drobak-Frogn: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Elverum: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Drobak-Frogn: only games against sides at Elverum's level · Elverum: only games against sides at Drobak-Frogn's level
Double Chance: Drobak-Frogn or ElverumIN CODES
1.22
DRO 5 of 5 (100%) · ELV 7 of 8 (88%)76.6%
Drobak-Frogn: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Elverum: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Drobak-Frogn: only games against sides at Elverum's level · Elverum: only games against sides at Drobak-Frogn's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
DRO 5 of 5 (100%) · ELV 8 of 8 (100%)95.5%
Drobak-Frogn: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Elverum: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Drobak-Frogn: only games against sides at Elverum's level · Elverum: only games against sides at Drobak-Frogn's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
DRO 4 of 5 (80%) · ELV 8 of 8 (100%)83.7%
Drobak-Frogn: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Elverum: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Drobak-Frogn: only games against sides at Elverum's level · Elverum: only games against sides at Drobak-Frogn's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.28
DRO 4 of 5 (80%) · ELV 7 of 8 (88%)62.5%
Drobak-Frogn: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Elverum: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Drobak-Frogn: only games against sides at Elverum's level · Elverum: only games against sides at Drobak-Frogn's level
DROBAK-FROGN GOALS
Drobak-Frogn Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
DRO 5 of 5 (100%) · ELV 6 of 8 (75%)84.9%
Drobak-Frogn scored in 5 of 5 at home · Elverum conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Drobak-Frogn: only games against sides at Elverum's level · Elverum: only games against sides at Drobak-Frogn's level
ELVERUM GOALS
Elverum Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
DRO 8 of 8 (100%) · ELV 4 of 5 (80%)73.5%
Elverum scored in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Drobak-Frogn conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 89% · Elverum: only games against sides at Drobak-Frogn's level · Drobak-Frogn: only games against sides at Elverum's level
Left off the list: Elverum or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Drobak-Frogn); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Elverum or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Drobak-Frogn)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 9.5%
Drobak-Frogn goals →
Elverum goals ↓
0-05%
1-07%
2-07%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.8%
0-15%
1-111%
2-19%
3-16%
4-13%
5-11%
0-24%
1-27%
2-26%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.7%
0-32%
1-33%
2-33%
3-32%
4-30.8%
5-30.3%
0-40.5%
1-41.0%
2-40.9%
3-40.6%
4-40.3%
5-40.1%
0-50.1%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
DROBAK-FROGNWWWWDWLLLW1.90 PPG
ELVERUMWWLWLLDWDW1.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
DROBAK-FROGN HOMExELVERUM AWAY
2.26SCORED A GAME2.831.39CONCEDED A GAME1.7080%BOTH SCORED70%20%CLEAN SHEETS20%3.82CORNERS A GAME6.001.36CARDS A GAME2.00
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
2.44POINTS A GAME2.11+2.22GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.44–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.49LEAGUE GAMES9
Drobak-Frogn: the quality side - a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
89%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
86%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
35%
NO · 85/90
DROBAK-FROGN OR DRAW
87%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
ELVERUM OR DRAW
21%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
DROBAK-FROGNxELVERUM
5GAMES53.40SCORED A GAME3.001.20CONCEDED A GAME2.004.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES5.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%80%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Drobak-Frogn have scored in 100% of their games.
Elverum have scored in 90% of their games.
Drobak-Frogn kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Elverum kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards
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