BSBAE

13:00Sat 17 Oct

ULL

ULL

Baerum SK vs Ullern

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. 3. Division, Group 1. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.

Form. Baerum SK have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. Ullern have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L.

The numbers. Baerum SK score 1.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Baerum SK average 6.2 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Ullern score 2.2 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Ullern average 6.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 80%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Baerum SK or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Ullern or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Baerum SK 2-1 Ullern (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BAE 8 of 8 (100%) · ULL 5 of 5 (100%)93.6%

Baerum SK: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Ullern: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Baerum SK: only games against sides at Ullern's level · Ullern: only games against sides at Baerum SK's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BAE 7 of 8 (88%) · ULL 5 of 5 (100%)78.4%

Baerum SK: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Ullern: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · Baerum SK: only games against sides at Ullern's level · Ullern: only games against sides at Baerum SK's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BAE 5 of 8 (62%) · ULL 5 of 5 (100%)54.3%

Baerum SK: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Ullern: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 76% · Baerum SK: only games against sides at Ullern's level · Ullern: only games against sides at Baerum SK's level

BAERUM SK GOALS

Baerum SK Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BAE 7 of 8 (88%) · ULL 5 of 5 (100%)77.7%

Baerum SK scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Ullern conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · Baerum SK: only games against sides at Ullern's level · Ullern: only games against sides at Baerum SK's level

ULLERN GOALS

Ullern Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BAE 4 of 5 (80%) · ULL 7 of 8 (88%)74.1%

Ullern scored in 4 of 5 away · Baerum SK conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · Ullern: only games against sides at Baerum SK's level · Baerum SK: only games against sides at Ullern's level

Left off the list: Baerum SK or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Ullern or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Double Chance: Baerum SK or Ullern (no result call); Ullern or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Baerum SK or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 8.8%

Baerum SK goals →

Ullern goals ↓

0-06%

1-08%

2-06%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-17%

1-112%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-28%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-34%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.2%

0-40.8%

1-41%

2-40.9%

3-40.5%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

BAERUM SKLLLLLLWDWW1.00 PPG

ULLERNLWLWLLWWLD1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BAERUM SK HOMExULLERN AWAY

2.78SCORED A GAME1.831.96CONCEDED A GAME2.6170%BOTH SCORED80%20%CLEAN SHEETS0%6.16CORNERS A GAME5.952.11CARDS A GAME2.00

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.11POINTS A GAME1.20+0.11GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.80-1.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-4.10.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.29LEAGUE GAMES10

Baerum SK: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

97%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

81%

VERY GOOD · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

54%

NO · 85/90

BAERUM SK OR DRAW

58%

NO · 80/85

ULLERN OR DRAW

43%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

BAERUM SKxULLERN

5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.602.60CONCEDED A GAME2.203.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.0–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES12.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Baerum SK have scored in 90% of their games.

Ullern have scored in 80% of their games.

Baerum SK kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Ullern kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards