Match details. Ligue 2. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. Nantes have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W D. USL Dunkerque have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D L.
The numbers. Nantes score 0.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Nantes average 10.3 shots (3.3 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.3 cards a game. USL Dunkerque score 1.2 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and five games without a goal. USL Dunkerque average 9.7 shots (4.1 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 3.5 Cards (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Nantes 1-1 USL Dunkerque (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).