Metz vs Sochaux-Montbeliard
Match details. Ligue 2. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. Metz have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W D. Sochaux-Montbeliard have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W D D.
The numbers. Metz score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Metz average 11.3 shots (4.1 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Sochaux-Montbeliard score 0.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Sochaux-Montbeliard average 6.2 shots (1.9 on target), 2.8 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 29% against the records' 56%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 31%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Metz 1-1 Sochaux-Montbeliard (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).