Club Guarani Asuncion vs Nacional Asuncion
Match details. Division de Honor, Clausura - 15. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Rogelio Livieres, Asunción. The referee is Juan Gabriel Benitez.
What's at stake. Club Guarani Asuncion are 6th on 22 points after 14 games, 2 points behind Sportivo Trinidense, 2 points clear of Cerro Porteno. A win would take them above Sportivo Trinidense. Nacional Asuncion are 4th on 26 points after 14 games, 1 point behind Libertad Asuncion, 2 points clear of Sportivo Trinidense. A win would take them above Libertad Asuncion.
Form. Club Guarani Asuncion have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W D. In this competition Club Guarani Asuncion have gone D D W W D W. Nacional Asuncion have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W W. In this competition Nacional Asuncion have gone W D D W W L.
The numbers. Club Guarani Asuncion score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Club Guarani Asuncion average 12.9 shots (4.5 on target), 5.6 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. Nacional Asuncion score 1.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Nacional Asuncion average 12.1 shots (4.9 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 45% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Club Guarani Asuncion have won three, drawn three and lost four. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, two were drawn and Nacional Asuncion won two. The last time they met, on 9 Aug 2026, it finished Club Guarani Asuncion 0-0 Nacional Asuncion: Club Guarani Asuncion had 8 shots to 12, 40% of the ball, five yellow cards.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 20%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.19, 77% on the records (Club Guarani Asuncion: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Nacional Asuncion: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: Under 1.5 first-half goals at 1.28. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Nacional Asuncion or draw and under 3.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Nacional Asuncion 1UP (the call is a draw). Predicted score: Club Guarani Asuncion 1-1 Nacional Asuncion (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).