Match details. Liga 1, Clausura - 12. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Complejo Juan Pablo II, Chongoyape.
What's at stake. Juan Pablo II College are 6th on 19 points after 11 games, 2 points behind Universitario, level on points with FBC Melgar. A win would take them above Universitario. Sport Boys Association are 9th on 18 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Alianza Lima, level on points with Cusco. A win would take them above Alianza Lima.
Form. Juan Pablo II College have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D W. In this competition Juan Pablo II College have gone D W W D W W. Sport Boys Association have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L W. In this competition Sport Boys Association have gone L D W L W W.
The numbers. Juan Pablo II College score 2.4 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Juan Pablo II College average 14.2 shots (5.1 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. Sport Boys Association score 1.5 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Sport Boys Association average 11.9 shots (4.2 on target), 5.1 corners and 3.8 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Juan Pablo II College have won one, drawn one and lost one. One of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 26 Apr 2026, it finished Juan Pablo II College 1-1 Sport Boys Association: Juan Pablo II College had 12 shots to 8, 51% of the ball, eight yellow cards.
The case against. Sport Boys Association's record still gives them 29% to win.
The read. Juan Pablo II College or the draw. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%. Two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.35, 73% on the records (Juan Pablo II College: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Sport Boys Association: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10). Backup: Under 2.5 first-half goals at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Sport Boys Association Over 0.5 goals (Juan Pablo II College's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Juan Pablo II College or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Juan Pablo II College or draw and under 3.5 goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Juan Pablo II College 1-1 Sport Boys Association (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).