Boyaca Chico FC vs Atletico Nacional
Match details. Liga DIMAYOR, Clausura - 1. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio La Independencia, Tunja.
What's at stake. Boyaca Chico FC are 14th on 12 points after 12 games, 2 points behind Internacional de Bogota, level on points with Alianza Valledupar. A win would take them above Internacional de Bogota. Atletico Nacional are 4th on 23 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Bucaramanga, level on points with Independiente Medellin. A win would take them above Bucaramanga.
Form. Boyaca Chico FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L L. In this competition Boyaca Chico FC have gone L D W L L W. Atletico Nacional have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L W. In this competition Atletico Nacional have gone D W D L W W.
The numbers. Boyaca Chico FC score 1.3 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Boyaca Chico FC average 7.2 shots (2.8 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 41% of the ball. Atletico Nacional score two and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Atletico Nacional average 16.6 shots (6.9 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 63% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Boyaca Chico FC have won one, drawn one and lost eight. Eight of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, one was drawn and Atletico Nacional won three. The last time they met, on 17 Jan 2026, it finished Boyaca Chico FC 0-4 Atletico Nacional: Boyaca Chico FC had 11 shots to 25, 40% of the ball, five yellow cards.
The case against. Boyaca Chico FC's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. Atletico Nacional to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Atletico Nacional the likelier winners; Atletico Nacional are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Atletico Nacional; the meetings favour Atletico Nacional. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%. Eight of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Atletico Nacional (Draw No Bet) at 1.20, 78% on the records (Atletico Nacional won 3 of 5 away (draws left out); Boyaca Chico FC lost 2 of 5 at home (draws left out)). Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Atletico Nacional or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Atletico Nacional Over 0.5 goals (Boyaca Chico FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: Boyaca Chico FC 1-2 Atletico Nacional (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).