CACFA

20:00Sat 17 Oct

HER

CF Algeciras vs Hercules de Alicante CF

CLASS D

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THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TOTAL GOALS

Class D

CAv

Under 3.5 Goals

CF Algeciras v Hercules de Alicante CF

Spain - Primera… · 20:00

1.20odds

83%book

-8edge

4/4angles

THE READ

Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 2 - 8. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Nuevo Mirador, Algeciras.

What's at stake. CF Algeciras are 15th on 7 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Gimnastic, level on points with Europa Fc. A win would take them above Gimnastic. Hercules de Alicante CF are 6th on 13 points after 7 games, level on points with Alcorcon, 1 point clear of Real Jaén. A win would take them above Alcorcon.

Form. CF Algeciras have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D L. Hercules de Alicante CF have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W.

The numbers. CF Algeciras score 1.1 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. CF Algeciras average 8.8 shots (3.9 on target), 4.7 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Hercules de Alicante CF score 1.1 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. Hercules de Alicante CF average 11.6 shots (4.3 on target), 6.0 corners and 3.3 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last four meetings CF Algeciras have won two, drawn none and lost two. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 16 May 2026, it finished CF Algeciras 0-2 Hercules de Alicante CF.

The case against. CF Algeciras's record still gives them 29% to win.

The read. Hercules de Alicante CF to win. A tight game. Hercules de Alicante CF are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Hercules de Alicante CF. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.20, 75% on the records (CF Algeciras: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10; Hercules de Alicante CF: under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10). Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Hercules de Alicante CF or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CF Algeciras 0-1 Hercules de Alicante CF (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CFA 9 of 10 (90%) · HER 10 of 10 (100%)95.4%

CF Algeciras: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Hercules de Alicante CF: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 4 of 4 · CF Algeciras: only games against sides at Hercules de Alicante CF's level · Hercules de Alicante CF: only games against sides at CF Algeciras's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CFA 9 of 10 (90%) · HER 10 of 10 (100%)88.4%

CF Algeciras: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Hercules de Alicante CF: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 3 of 4 · CF Algeciras: only games against sides at Hercules de Alicante CF's level · Hercules de Alicante CF: only games against sides at CF Algeciras's level

Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.20

CFA 7 of 10 (70%) · HER 10 of 10 (100%)74.6%

CF Algeciras: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Hercules de Alicante CF: under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 3 of 4 · CF Algeciras: only games against sides at Hercules de Alicante CF's level · Hercules de Alicante CF: only games against sides at CF Algeciras's level

HERCULES DE ALICANTE CF GOALS

Hercules de Alicante CF Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CFA 8 of 10 (80%) · HER 8 of 10 (80%)69.6%

Hercules de Alicante CF scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CF Algeciras conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 4 · Hercules de Alicante CF: only games against sides at CF Algeciras's level · CF Algeciras: only games against sides at Hercules de Alicante CF's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CFA 8 of 9 (89%) · HER 7 of 9 (78%)83.3%

CF Algeciras's games: over 3.5 cards in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Hercules de Alicante CF's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · CF Algeciras: only games against sides at Hercules de Alicante CF's level · Hercules de Alicante CF: only games against sides at CF Algeciras's level

Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Hercules de Alicante CF or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 8.5%

CF Algeciras goals →

Hercules de Alicante… goals ↓

0-09%

1-010%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-19%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.7%

1-40.9%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

CF ALGECIRASWLLLLLDWWL1.00 PPG

HERCULES DE ALICANTE CFWWDLLWWWDW2.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CF ALGECIRAS HOMExHERCULES DE ALICANTE CF AWAY

1.10SCORED A GAME1.101.80CONCEDED A GAME0.7020%CLEAN SHEETS50%0%FAILED TO SCORE29%4.67CORNERS A GAME6.003.00CARDS A GAME3.33

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.00POINTS A GAME1.86-0.57GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.14-1.9SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.91.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.67LEAGUE GAMES7

Hercules de Alicante CF: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

HERCULES DE ALICANTE CF 0:2 HANDICAP

–

373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

65%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

51%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

95%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

CF ALGECIRAS OR DRAW

45%

NO · 80/85

HERCULES DE ALICANTE CF OR DRAW

74%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CF ALGECIRASxHERCULES DE ALICANTE CF

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.001.60CONCEDED A GAME0.203.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS20%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%80%BOTH SCORE20%7.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.88.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4

CF ALGECIRAS 2 · 50%DRAW 0HERCULES DE ALICANTE CF 2 · 50%

2 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED

3 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS

2 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS

2024-10-11CF Algeciras 2 – 3 Hercules de Alicante CF

2025-05-11CF Algeciras 2 – 1 Hercules de Alicante CF

2025-09-12CF Algeciras 1 – 0 Hercules de Alicante CF

2026-05-16CF Algeciras 0 – 2 Hercules de Alicante CF

TRENDS

CF Algeciras have scored in 90% of their games.

Hercules de Alicante CF have scored in 80% of their games.

CF Algeciras kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Hercules de Alicante CF kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards