Match details. LigaPro Primera A, Championship Group - 3. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Bellavista, Ambato.
What's at stake. CSD Macara are 2nd on 57 points after 32 games, 20 points behind Independiente del Valle, 5 points clear of LDU de Quito. CSD Independiente del Valle are 1st on 77 points after 31 games, 20 points clear of Macara.
Form. CSD Macara have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. In this competition CSD Macara have gone W W W L W W. CSD Independiente del Valle have won seven, drawn one and lost one of their last nine, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L D. In this competition CSD Independiente del Valle have gone W W W L D W.
The numbers. CSD Macara score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. CSD Macara average 14.8 shots (4.8 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 40% of the ball. CSD Independiente del Valle score 2.2 and concede 1.3 a game over their last nine, with two clean sheets. CSD Independiente del Valle average 17.6 shots (7.0 on target), 6.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 57% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CSD Macara have won one, drawn one and lost eight. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, one was drawn and CSD Independiente del Valle won three. The last time they met, on 5 Sep 2026, it finished CSD Macara 1-3 CSD Independiente del Valle.
The case against. CSD Macara's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. CSD Independiente del Valle to win. An open game. CSD Independiente del Valle are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CSD Independiente del Valle; the meetings favour CSD Independiente del Valle. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.26, 76% on the records (CSD Macara: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10; CSD Independiente del Valle: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.22. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: CSD Macara Under 1.5 goals (CSD Macara's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: CSD Macara 1-2 CSD Independiente del Valle (8% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
CSD Independiente del Valle or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CM 9 of 9 (100%) · CI 8 of 10 (80%)92.5%
CSD Independiente del Valle: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CSD Macara: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 6 of 6 · CSD Independiente del Valle: only games against sides at CSD Macara's level · CSD Macara: only games against sides at CSD Independiente del Valle's level
CSD Independiente del Valle win or both teams scoreSETTLEDIN CODES
1.17
CM 9 of 9 (100%) · CI 8 of 10 (80%)92.5%
CSD Independiente del Valle: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CSD Macara: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 6 of 6 · CSD Independiente del Valle: only games against sides at CSD Macara's level · CSD Macara: only games against sides at CSD Independiente del Valle's level · rule 2: the meetings back CSD Independiente del Valle: in the last 10 m
CSD Independiente del Valle or Over 2.5 GoalsSETTLEDPAGE ONLY
1.34
CM 9 of 9 (100%) · CI 7 of 10 (70%)84.6%
CSD Independiente del Valle: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CSD Macara: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 6 · CSD Independiente del Valle: only games against sides at CSD Macara's level · CSD Macara: only games against sides at CSD Independiente del Valle's level · rule 2: the meetings back CSD Independiente del Valle: in the last 10 m
CSD Independiente del Valle to Win Either Half: YesSETTLEDPAGE ONLY
1.43
CM 8 of 9 (89%) · CI 4 of 10 (40%)69%
CSD Independiente del Valle: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CSD Macara: the bet landed in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · CSD Independiente del Valle: only games against sides at CSD Macara's level · CSD Macara: only games against sides at CSD Independiente del Valle's level · rule 2: the meetings back CSD Independiente del V
CSD Independiente del Valle or draw and over 1.5 goalsSETTLEDPAGE ONLY
1.50
CM 2 of 10 (20%) · CI 7 of 9 (78%)57.5%
CSD Macara: the bet landed in 2 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CSD Independiente del Valle: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 49% · H2H 5 of 6 · CSD Macara: only games against sides at CSD Independiente del Valle's level · CSD Independiente del Valle: only games against sides at CSD Macara's level · rule 2: the meetings back CSD Independiente del Valle: in the last 10 m
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.26
CM 7 of 10 (70%) · CI 8 of 9 (89%)76.4%
CSD Macara: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CSD Independiente del Valle: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 5 of 6 · CSD Macara: only games against sides at CSD Independiente del Valle's level · CSD Independiente del Valle: only games against sides at CSD Macara's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.83
CM 6 of 10 (60%) · CI 7 of 9 (78%)51.4%
CSD Macara: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CSD Independiente del Valle: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 4 of 6 · CSD Macara: only games against sides at CSD Independiente del Valle's level · CSD Independiente del Valle: only games against sides at CSD Macara's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.70
CM 7 of 10 (70%) · CI 7 of 9 (78%)55.7%
CSD Macara: both scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CSD Independiente del Valle: both scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · H2H 3 of 6 · CSD Macara: only games against sides at CSD Independiente del Valle's level · CSD Independiente del Valle: only games against sides at CSD Macara's level
CSD MACARA GOALS
CSD Macara Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.44
CM 9 of 10 (90%) · CI 7 of 9 (78%)77.5%
CSD Macara scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CSD Independiente del Valle conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · H2H 3 of 6 · CSD Macara: only games against sides at CSD Independiente del Valle's level · CSD Independiente del Valle: only games against sides at CSD Macara's level
CSD INDEPENDIENTE DEL VALLE GOALS
CSD Independiente del Valle Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.18
CM 9 of 9 (100%) · CI 8 of 10 (80%)71.1%
CSD Independiente del Valle scored in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CSD Macara conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 6 of 6 · CSD Independiente del Valle: only games against sides at CSD Macara's level · CSD Macara: only games against sides at CSD Independiente del Valle's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5BACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.22
CM 8 of 10 (80%) · CI 9 of 9 (100%)92.5%
CSD Macara: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CSD Independiente del Valle: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · CSD Macara: only games against sides at CSD Independiente del Valle's level · CSD Independiente del Valle: only games against sides at CSD Macara's level
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.35
CM 8 of 10 (80%) · CI 7 of 9 (78%)80%
CSD Macara: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CSD Independiente del Valle: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · CSD Macara: only games against sides at CSD Independiente del Valle's level · CSD Independiente del Valle: only games against sides at CSD Macara's level
Left off the list: CSD Macara Under 1.5 goals (CSD Macara's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–27.5%
CSD Macara goals →
CSD Independiente del… goals ↓
0-07%
1-09%
2-07%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-27%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-41.0%
2-40.7%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
CSD MACARAWWDLWWLWWW2.20 PPG
CSD INDEPENDIENTE DEL VALLEWWWWDLWWW2.44 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CSD MACARA HOMExCSD INDEPENDIENTE DEL VALLE AWAY
1.60SCORED A GAME2.221.20CONCEDED A GAME1.3320%CLEAN SHEETS22%22%FAILED TO SCORE6%5.00CORNERS A GAME6.601.00CARDS A GAME2.20
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
2.36POINTS A GAME2.00+0.71GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.60+1.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.22.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.014LEAGUE GAMES5
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
87%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
85%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
75%
NO · 85/90
CSD MACARA OR DRAW
83%
OKAY · 80/85
CSD INDEPENDIENTE DEL VALLE OR DRAW
22%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (14 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CSD MACARAxCSD INDEPENDIENTE DEL VALLE
5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME2.201.40CONCEDED A GAME1.603.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.860%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS100%60%BOTH SCORE100%2.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–8.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
CSD MACARA 1 · 10%DRAW 1CSD INDEPENDIENTE DEL VALLE 8 · 80%
4 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
6 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
4 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2021-02-27CSD Macara 3 – 1 CSD Independiente del Valle
2021-08-01CSD Macara 0 – 4 CSD Independiente del Valle
2022-05-10CSD Macara 0 – 1 CSD Independiente del Valle
2022-09-25CSD Macara 0 – 1 CSD Independiente del Valle
2024-05-26CSD Macara 0 – 1 CSD Independiente del Valle
2024-11-24CSD Macara 0 – 7 CSD Independiente del Valle
2025-03-16CSD Macara 1 – 1 CSD Independiente del Valle
2025-07-12CSD Macara 1 – 2 CSD Independiente del Valle
TRENDS
CSD Macara failed to score in 22% of their games.
CSD Independiente del Valle failed to score in 6% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague tablecornerscards