Sligo Rovers FC vs Dundalk FC
Match details. Premier Division, Regular Season - 34. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at The Showgrounds, Sligo.
What's at stake. Sligo Rovers FC are 10th on 23 points after 33 games, 11 points behind Waterford. Dundalk FC are 7th on 41 points after 33 games, level on points with Galway United, 4 points clear of Drogheda United. A win would take them above Galway United. Dundalk FC have nothing left to play for.
Form. Sligo Rovers FC have won none, drawn three and lost seven of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. In this competition Sligo Rovers FC have gone L L L L L D. Dundalk FC have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D W. In this competition Dundalk FC have gone L L L D W L.
The numbers. Sligo Rovers FC score 0.7 and concede 2.2 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. Sligo Rovers FC average 8.8 shots (2.1 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. Dundalk FC score 1.3 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets. Dundalk FC average 15.8 shots (3.8 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 56% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Sligo Rovers FC have won four, drawn two and lost four. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Sligo Rovers FC won two, one was drawn and Dundalk FC won one. The last time they met, on 31 Jul 2026, it finished Sligo Rovers FC 1-1 Dundalk FC: Sligo Rovers FC had 6 shots to 29, 39% of the ball, four yellow cards.
The case against. Sligo Rovers FC's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. Dundalk FC or the draw. A tight game. Dundalk FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Dundalk FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Sligo Rovers FC Under 1.5 goals (Dundalk FC's own games don't back it (3 of 10)). Predicted score: Sligo Rovers FC 1-1 Dundalk FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).