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SPAIN - PRIMERA FEDERACION
Zamora CF crestZCZAM
17:45Sat 17 Oct
SDPSD Ponferradina crestSP

Zamora CF vs SD Ponferradina

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 1 - 8. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 17:45 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Ruta de la Plata, Zamora.

What's at stake. Zamora CF are 7th on 11 points after 7 games, level on points with Mirandes, level on points with Cultural Leonesa. A win would take them above Mirandes. SD Ponferradina are 9th on 11 points after 7 games, level on points with Cultural Leonesa, 2 points clear of Real Unión. A win would take them above Cultural Leonesa.

Form. Zamora CF have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L W. SD Ponferradina have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W L.

The numbers. Zamora CF score 1.3 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Zamora CF average 11.9 shots (4.1 on target), 3.3 corners and 2.4 cards a game. SD Ponferradina score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. SD Ponferradina average 9.0 shots (3.0 on target), 4.1 corners and 3.0 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last four meetings Zamora CF have won one, drawn one and lost two. Three of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 2 May 2026, it finished Zamora CF 3-0 SD Ponferradina.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%; three of the last four meetings went over 2.5.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Zamora CF 1-1 SD Ponferradina (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ZAM 7 of 7 (100%) · SDP 7 of 7 (100%)95.9%
Zamora CF: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · SD Ponferradina: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 4 of 4 · Zamora CF: only games against sides at SD Ponferradina's level · SD Ponferradina: only games against sides at Zamora CF's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ZAM 7 of 7 (100%) · SDP 6 of 7 (86%)91%
Zamora CF: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · SD Ponferradina: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · H2H 4 of 4 · Zamora CF: only games against sides at SD Ponferradina's level · SD Ponferradina: only games against sides at Zamora CF's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ZAM 7 of 7 (100%) · SDP 7 of 7 (100%)89.4%
Zamora CF: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · SD Ponferradina: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 4 of 4 · Zamora CF: only games against sides at SD Ponferradina's level · SD Ponferradina: only games against sides at Zamora CF's level
Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.20
ZAM 7 of 7 (100%) · SDP 7 of 7 (100%)76.2%
Zamora CF: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · SD Ponferradina: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 3 of 4 · Zamora CF: only games against sides at SD Ponferradina's level · SD Ponferradina: only games against sides at Zamora CF's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ZAM 6 of 7 (86%) · SDP 3 of 7 (43%)71.5%
Zamora CF: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · SD Ponferradina: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · H2H 4 of 4 · Zamora CF: only games against sides at SD Ponferradina's level · SD Ponferradina: only games against sides at Zamora CF's level
SD PONFERRADINA GOALS
SD Ponferradina Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ZAM 5 of 7 (71%) · SDP 5 of 7 (71%)66.4%
SD Ponferradina scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Zamora CF conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 3 of 4 · SD Ponferradina: only games against sides at Zamora CF's level · Zamora CF: only games against sides at SD Ponferradina's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ZAM 5 of 6 (83%) · SDP 6 of 7 (86%)84.5%
Zamora CF's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · SD Ponferradina's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Zamora CF: only games against sides at SD Ponferradina's level · SD Ponferradina: only games against sides at Zamora CF's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.4%
Zamora CF goals →
SD Ponferradina goals ↓
0-09%
1-011%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10
ZAMORA CFWWLDLWLWWD1.70 PPG
SD PONFERRADINAWDLWDLWDWL1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ZAMORA CF HOMExSD PONFERRADINA AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME0.701.10CONCEDED A GAME0.9040%CLEAN SHEETS60%0%FAILED TO SCORE29%3.33CORNERS A GAME4.142.44CARDS A GAME3.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.57POINTS A GAME1.57+0.29GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00+0.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.32.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.47LEAGUE GAMES7
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
65%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
24%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
98%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
ZAMORA CF OR DRAW
58%
NO · 80/85
SD PONFERRADINA OR DRAW
69%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
ZAMORA CFxSD PONFERRADINA
5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME0.800.80CONCEDED A GAME1.002.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%60%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.2–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES7.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4
ZAMORA CF 1 · 25%DRAW 1SD PONFERRADINA 2 · 50%
2 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED
4 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS
3 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS
2024-11-03Zamora CF 2 – 2 SD Ponferradina
2025-04-12Zamora CF 1 – 2 SD Ponferradina
2025-10-19Zamora CF 0 – 2 SD Ponferradina
2026-05-02Zamora CF 3 – 0 SD Ponferradina
TRENDS
Zamora CF have scored in 90% of their games.
SD Ponferradina have scored in 70% of their games.
Zamora CF kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
SD Ponferradina kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards
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