Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 1 - 8. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 17:45 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Ruta de la Plata, Zamora.
What's at stake. Zamora CF are 7th on 11 points after 7 games, level on points with Mirandes, level on points with Cultural Leonesa. A win would take them above Mirandes. SD Ponferradina are 9th on 11 points after 7 games, level on points with Cultural Leonesa, 2 points clear of Real Unión. A win would take them above Cultural Leonesa.
Form. Zamora CF have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L W. SD Ponferradina have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W L.
The numbers. Zamora CF score 1.3 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Zamora CF average 11.9 shots (4.1 on target), 3.3 corners and 2.4 cards a game. SD Ponferradina score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. SD Ponferradina average 9.0 shots (3.0 on target), 4.1 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Zamora CF have won one, drawn one and lost two. Three of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 2 May 2026, it finished Zamora CF 3-0 SD Ponferradina.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%; three of the last four meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Zamora CF 1-1 SD Ponferradina (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).