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ECUADOR - LIGAPRO PRIMERA A
Libertad Loja crestLLLIB
17:30Sat 17 Oct
GUAGuayaquil City FC crestGC

Libertad Loja vs Guayaquil City FC

CLASS D
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
81
1UP
Class D
Libertad Loja crestLLvGuayaquil City FC crestGC
Libertad Loja 1UP
Libertad Loja v Guayaquil City FC
Ecuador - LigaPro… · 17:30
1.50odds
67%book
+14edge
2/2angles
THE READ

Match details. LigaPro Primera A, Placement Group - 3. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, Loja.

What's at stake. Libertad Loja are 7th on 47 points after 32 games, 4 points clear of Guayaquil City FC. Guayaquil City FC are 8th on 43 points after 32 games, 4 points behind Libertad, 3 points clear of Leones del Norte. Guayaquil City FC have nothing left to play for.

Form. Libertad Loja have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W D. In this competition Libertad Loja have gone W W L W D L. Guayaquil City FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L L. In this competition Guayaquil City FC have gone W D W L L W.

The numbers. Libertad Loja score two and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Libertad Loja average 14.0 shots (7.0 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. Guayaquil City FC score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Guayaquil City FC average 9.7 shots (4.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last four meetings Libertad Loja have won one, drawn two and lost one. One of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 15 Aug 2026, it finished Libertad Loja 2-2 Guayaquil City FC.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%; three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.

The case against. Guayaquil City FC's record still gives them 28% to win.

The read. Libertad Loja to win. Their goals for and against make Libertad Loja the likelier winners; Libertad Loja are the stronger side on form and the table.

The bets. Best bet: Libertad Loja 1UP at 1.50, 81% on the records (Libertad Loja scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4; led in 5 of 6 at home). Leave: Guayaquil City FC Over 0.5 goals (Libertad Loja's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); 1X2 - 2UP: Libertad Loja (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Libertad Loja 1-0 Guayaquil City FC (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Libertad Loja or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
LIB 6 of 6 (100%) · GUA 9 of 10 (90%)90.7%
Libertad Loja: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Guayaquil City FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 3 of 4 · Libertad Loja: only games against sides at Guayaquil City FC's level · Guayaquil City FC: only games against sides at Libertad Loja's level
Libertad Loja or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LIB 6 of 6 (100%) · GUA 9 of 10 (90%)90.7%
Libertad Loja: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Guayaquil City FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 3 of 4 · Libertad Loja: only games against sides at Guayaquil City FC's level · Guayaquil City FC: only games against sides at Libertad Loja's level
Libertad Loja or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.16
LIB 4 of 5 (80%) · GUA 5 of 6 (83%)84.4%
Libertad Loja scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 6 at home · Guayaquil City FC trailed or failed to win in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
Libertad Loja 1UPMAININ CODES
1.50
LIB 4 of 5 (80%) · GUA 5 of 6 (83%)81.1%
Libertad Loja scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 5 of 6 at home · Guayaquil City FC trailed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
Libertad Loja or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LIB 5 of 6 (83%) · GUA 8 of 10 (80%)76.7%
Libertad Loja: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Guayaquil City FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 2 of 4 · Libertad Loja: only games against sides at Guayaquil City FC's level · Guayaquil City FC: only games against sides at Libertad Loja's level
Double Chance: Libertad Loja or DrawIN CODES
1.22
LIB 5 of 6 (83%) · GUA 6 of 10 (60%)73.8%
Libertad Loja unbeaten in 5 of 6 at home · Guayaquil City FC failed to win 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 3 of 4 · Libertad Loja: only games against sides at Guayaquil City FC's level · Guayaquil City FC: only games against sides at Libertad Loja's level
2nd Half - Double Chance: Libertad Loja or Guayaquil City FCPAGE ONLY
1.44
LIB 3 of 6 (50%) · GUA 9 of 10 (90%)73.6%
Libertad Loja: the bet landed in 3 of 6 at home · Guayaquil City FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 4 · on half-time scores · Libertad Loja: only games against sides at Guayaquil City FC's level · Guayaquil City FC: only games against sides at Libertad Loja's level
Libertad Loja (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.37
LIB 4 of 5 (80%) · GUA 3 of 7 (43%)64.5%
Libertad Loja won 4 of 5 at home (draws left out) · Guayaquil City FC lost 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 59% · Libertad Loja: only games against sides at Guayaquil City FC's level · Guayaquil City FC: only games against sides at Libertad Loja's level · won 7, refunded 1, lost 2
Libertad Loja or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LIB 4 of 6 (67%) · GUA 4 of 10 (40%)51.9%
Libertad Loja: the bet landed in 4 of 6 at home · Guayaquil City FC: the bet landed in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50% · H2H 2 of 4 · Libertad Loja: only games against sides at Guayaquil City FC's level · Guayaquil City FC: only games against sides at Libertad Loja's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LIB 6 of 6 (100%) · GUA 9 of 10 (90%)94.2%
Libertad Loja: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Guayaquil City FC: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 4 of 4 · Libertad Loja: only games against sides at Guayaquil City FC's level · Guayaquil City FC: only games against sides at Libertad Loja's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LIB 6 of 6 (100%) · GUA 9 of 10 (90%)92.8%
Libertad Loja: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Guayaquil City FC: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 4 of 4 · Libertad Loja: only games against sides at Guayaquil City FC's level · Guayaquil City FC: only games against sides at Libertad Loja's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LIB 5 of 6 (83%) · GUA 7 of 10 (70%)86%
Libertad Loja: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Guayaquil City FC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 4 · Libertad Loja: only games against sides at Guayaquil City FC's level · Guayaquil City FC: only games against sides at Libertad Loja's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.33
LIB 5 of 6 (83%) · GUA 8 of 10 (80%)76%
Libertad Loja: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Guayaquil City FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 2 of 4 · Libertad Loja: only games against sides at Guayaquil City FC's level · Guayaquil City FC: only games against sides at Libertad Loja's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.83
LIB 3 of 6 (50%) · GUA 8 of 10 (80%)54.4%
Libertad Loja: both scored in 3 of 6 at home · Guayaquil City FC: both scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 2 of 4 · Libertad Loja: only games against sides at Guayaquil City FC's level · Guayaquil City FC: only games against sides at Libertad Loja's level
LIBERTAD LOJA GOALS
Libertad Loja Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LIB 6 of 6 (100%) · GUA 9 of 10 (90%)79.7%
Libertad Loja scored in 6 of 6 at home · Guayaquil City FC conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 3 of 4 · Libertad Loja: only games against sides at Guayaquil City FC's level · Guayaquil City FC: only games against sides at Libertad Loja's level
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.41
LIB 6 of 6 (100%) · GUA 8 of 10 (80%)69%
Libertad Loja: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Guayaquil City FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 1 of 4 · on half-time scores · Libertad Loja: only games against sides at Guayaquil City FC's level · Guayaquil City FC: only games against sides at Libertad Loja's level
Left off the list: Guayaquil City FC Over 0.5 goals (Libertad Loja's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); 1X2 - 2UP: Libertad Loja (the numbers (49%) and the records (62%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–0 9.8%
Libertad Loja goals →
Guayaquil City FC goals ↓
0-07%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-24%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.7%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10
LIBERTAD LOJAWWDWLDWLWW2.00 PPG
GUAYAQUIL CITY FCLDDWWLLWDW1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
LIBERTAD LOJA HOMExGUAYAQUIL CITY FC AWAY
1.70SCORED A GAME1.800.90CONCEDED A GAME1.6040%CLEAN SHEETS10%28%FAILED TO SCORE34%6.00CORNERS A GAME4.002.00CARDS A GAME2.33
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.80POINTS A GAME1.58+0.53GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.25-2.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.015LEAGUE GAMES12
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
71%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
51%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
86%
OKAY · 85/90
LIBERTAD LOJA OR DRAW
80%
OKAY · 80/85
GUAYAQUIL CITY FC OR DRAW
41%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (15 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
LIBERTAD LOJAxGUAYAQUIL CITY FC
8GAMES61.62SCORED A GAME1.500.88CONCEDED A GAME1.832.5GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.362%OVER 1.5 GOALS83%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%38%BOTH SCORE83%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4
LIBERTAD LOJA 1 · 25%DRAW 2GUAYAQUIL CITY FC 1 · 25%
2 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED
2 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS
1 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS
2023-05-06Libertad Loja 1 – 1 Guayaquil City FC
2023-10-10Libertad Loja 1 – 0 Guayaquil City FC
2026-04-21Libertad Loja 0 – 1 Guayaquil City FC
2026-08-15Libertad Loja 2 – 2 Guayaquil City FC
TRENDS
Libertad Loja have scored in 90% of their games.
Guayaquil City FC have scored in 80% of their games.
Libertad Loja kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Guayaquil City FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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