Racing Club Montevideo vs Montevideo Wanderers
Match details. Primera Division, Clausura - 11. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Osvaldo Roberto, Montevideo.
What's at stake. Racing Club Montevideo are 11th on 12 points after 10 games, level on points with Boston River, 4 points clear of Defensor Sporting. A win would take them above Boston River. Montevideo Wanderers are 8th on 15 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Juventud, 2 points clear of Progreso. A win would take them above Juventud.
Form. Racing Club Montevideo have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D W. In this competition Racing Club Montevideo have gone L L L D W L. Montevideo Wanderers have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D D. In this competition Montevideo Wanderers have gone L W W D D L.
The numbers. Racing Club Montevideo score 0.9 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and five games without a goal. Montevideo Wanderers score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Racing Club Montevideo have won five, drawn two and lost two. Two of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Racing Club Montevideo won two, one was drawn and Montevideo Wanderers won one. The last time they met, on 12 Apr 2026, it finished Racing Club Montevideo 2-1 Montevideo Wanderers.
Where it pulls both ways. Montevideo Wanderers are the form side, but the meetings favour Racing Club Montevideo: in the last nine meetings, Racing Club Montevideo won five, Montevideo Wanderers won two and two were drawn.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 25%. Seven of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.26, 76% on the records (Racing Club Montevideo: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10; Montevideo Wanderers: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Racing Club Montevideo 1-1 Montevideo Wanderers (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).