BCBAR

15:30Sat 17 Oct

CDM

Barakaldo CF vs CD Mirandes

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 1 - 8. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:30 Lagos time. It is played at Campo de Lasesarre, Barakaldo.

What's at stake. Barakaldo CF are 17th on 6 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Unionistas de Salamanca, 1 point clear of CD Coria. A win would take them above Unionistas de Salamanca. CD Mirandes are 6th on 11 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Cacereño, level on points with Zamora. A win would take them above Cacereño.

Form. Barakaldo CF have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L W. CD Mirandes have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D W.

The numbers. Barakaldo CF score 1.3 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Barakaldo CF average 10.2 shots (3.8 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.3 cards a game. CD Mirandes score 1.3 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. CD Mirandes average 11.1 shots (4.5 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.5 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 25%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CD Mirandes or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); CD Mirandes or Draw (1UP) (no result call); CD Mirandes or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Barakaldo CF 1-1 CD Mirandes (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BAR 5 of 6 (83%) · CDM 6 of 7 (86%)95.2%

Barakaldo CF: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · CD Mirandes: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Barakaldo CF: only games against sides at CD Mirandes's level · CD Mirandes: only games against sides at Barakaldo CF's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BAR 5 of 6 (83%) · CDM 6 of 7 (86%)87.8%

Barakaldo CF: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · CD Mirandes: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Barakaldo CF: only games against sides at CD Mirandes's level · CD Mirandes: only games against sides at Barakaldo CF's level

BARAKALDO CF GOALS

Barakaldo CF Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BAR 5 of 6 (83%) · CDM 5 of 7 (71%)72.3%

Barakaldo CF scored in 5 of 6 at home · CD Mirandes conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Barakaldo CF: only games against sides at CD Mirandes's level · CD Mirandes: only games against sides at Barakaldo CF's level

Barakaldo CF Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.50

BAR 4 of 6 (67%) · CDM 5 of 7 (71%)63.2%

Barakaldo CF scored under 1.5 in 4 of 6 at home · CD Mirandes conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Barakaldo CF: only games against sides at CD Mirandes's level · CD Mirandes: only games against sides at Barakaldo CF's level

HALVES

1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BAR 5 of 6 (83%) · CDM 5 of 7 (71%)75.2%

Barakaldo CF: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · CD Mirandes: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · on half-time scores · Barakaldo CF: only games against sides at CD Mirandes's level · CD Mirandes: only games against sides at Barakaldo CF's level

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BAR 5 of 6 (83%) · CDM 7 of 7 (100%)91.1%

Barakaldo CF's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 6 at home · CD Mirandes's games: over 2.5 cards in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Barakaldo CF: only games against sides at CD Mirandes's level · CD Mirandes: only games against sides at Barakaldo CF's level

Left off the list: CD Mirandes or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); CD Mirandes or Draw (1UP) (no result call); CD Mirandes or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); 2nd Half - Double Chance: Draw or CD Mirandes (no result call); CD Mirandes Over 0.5 goals (Barakaldo CF's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); CD Mirandes 1UP (no result call); CD Mirandes (Draw No Bet) (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.3%

Barakaldo CF goals →

CD Mirandes goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-06%

3-03%

4-00.9%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-34%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.9%

1-41%

2-40.8%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

BARAKALDO CFWWDDLWLDDL1.30 PPG

CD MIRANDESDWLLWWDWLD1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BARAKALDO CF HOMExCD MIRANDES AWAY

1.30SCORED A GAME1.501.20CONCEDED A GAME1.2030%CLEAN SHEETS20%43%FAILED TO SCORE29%5.50CORNERS A GAME4.602.30CARDS A GAME2.50

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

0.86POINTS A GAME1.57-0.57GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.29+1.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.61.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.67LEAGUE GAMES7

CD Mirandes: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

43%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

25%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

76%

NO · 85/90

BARAKALDO CF OR DRAW

87%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

CD MIRANDES OR DRAW

63%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

BARAKALDO CFxCD MIRANDES

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.601.20CONCEDED A GAME1.402.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.040%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.6–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Barakaldo CF have scored in 70% of their games.

CD Mirandes have scored in 70% of their games.

Barakaldo CF kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

CD Mirandes kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards