TUTOR

15:00Sat 17 Oct

OXF

Torquay United vs Oxford City

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. FA Cup, 4th Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Torquay United have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W D. In this competition Torquay United have gone W W. Oxford City have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W W. In this competition Oxford City have gone W W.

The numbers. Torquay United score 3.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Oxford City score 2.2 and concede 0.3 a game in their last six away, with four clean sheets. Oxford City average 10.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Oxford City or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Torquay United Under 1.5 goals (Torquay United's own games don't back it (1 of 5)). Predicted score: Torquay United 1-2 Oxford City (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.21

TOR 5 of 5 (100%) · OXF 4 of 6 (67%)79.7%

Torquay United: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Oxford City: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 85%

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.64

TOR 4 of 5 (80%) · OXF 3 of 6 (50%)55.4%

Torquay United: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Oxford City: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 60%

OXFORD CITY GOALS

Oxford City Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.21

TOR 5 of 6 (83%) · OXF 5 of 5 (100%)84.5%

Oxford City scored in 5 of 6 away · Torquay United conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85%

Left off the list: Oxford City or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Torquay United Under 1.5 goals (Torquay United's own games don't back it (1 of 5)); Oxford City (Draw No Bet) (no result call); Oxford City or draw and over 1.5 goals (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Oxford City win or both teams score (no result call); Oxford City or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 9%

Torquay United goals →

Oxford City goals ↓

0-05%

1-05%

2-04%

3-02%

4-00.8%

5-00.2%

0-17%

1-111%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-26%

1-29%

2-27%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-34%

1-35%

2-34%

3-32%

4-30.7%

5-30.2%

0-42%

1-42%

2-42%

3-40.8%

4-40.3%

5-40.1%

0-50.5%

1-50.8%

2-50.6%

3-50.3%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

TORQUAY UNITEDLDLWWDWLWW1.70 PPG

OXFORD CITYWLWWLWWDWW2.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

TORQUAY UNITED HOMExOXFORD CITY AWAY

2.20SCORED A GAME2.601.40CONCEDED A GAME0.7020%CLEAN SHEETS50%36%FAILED TO SCORE9%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.45POINTS A GAME2.09+0.36GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.27–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.82.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.011LEAGUE GAMES11

Oxford City: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

72%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

50%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

81%

NO · 85/90

TORQUAY UNITED OR DRAW

64%

NO · 80/85

OXFORD CITY OR DRAW

77%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TORQUAY UNITEDxOXFORD CITY

6GAMES62.00SCORED A GAME2.001.17CONCEDED A GAME0.333.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.383%OVER 1.5 GOALS50%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%83%BOTH SCORE17%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Torquay United have scored in 70% of their games.

Oxford City have scored in 90% of their games.

Torquay United kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Oxford City kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheets