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15:00Sat 17 Oct

ALV

ALV

Spalding United vs Alvechurch

CLASS D

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THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

DOUBLE CHANCE

Class D

SUv

ALV

Double Chance: Spalding United or…

Spalding United v Alvechurch

England - FA Cup · 15:00

1.25odds

80%book

-3edge

1/1angles

THE READ

Match details. FA Cup, 4th Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Spalding United have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L W. Alvechurch have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D L.

The numbers. Spalding United score 2.6 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Spalding United average 7.2 shots (4.2 on target), 4.0 corners and 3.2 cards a game. Alvechurch score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal.

Head to head. In the last five meetings Spalding United have won three, drawn one and lost one. Two of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Spalding United won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 14 Feb 2026, it finished Spalding United 3-0 Alvechurch.

The case against. A knockout game (4th Round Qualifying) with penalties if level, and Spalding United are not clearly stronger. Alvechurch's record still gives them 26% to win.

The read. Spalding United or the draw. A tight game. Both teams' records favour Spalding United; the meetings favour Spalding United. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Three of the last five meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. Best bet: Spalding United or Draw at 1.25, 74% on the records (Spalding United unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; Alvechurch failed to win 5 of 10). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Spalding United or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Spalding United or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Spalding United 1-1 Alvechurch (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Spalding United or Under 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.18

SPA 5 of 5 (100%) · ALV 6 of 10 (60%)81.5%

Spalding United: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Alvechurch: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 5 · the call is Spalding United or the draw: a knockout game (4th Round Qualifying) with penalties if level, and Spalding United are not clearly stronger (rule 8)

Double Chance: Spalding United or DrawMAININ CODES

1.25

SPA 5 of 5 (100%) · ALV 5 of 10 (50%)77.1%

Spalding United unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home · Alvechurch failed to win 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 4 of 5

Spalding United or Both Teams ScoreTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.20

SPA 5 of 5 (100%) · ALV 6 of 10 (60%)75.2%

Spalding United or draw and under 3.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.67

SPA 3 of 5 (60%) · ALV 4 of 10 (40%)61.8%

Spalding United: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Alvechurch: the bet landed in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 45% · H2H 4 of 5

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES

1.11

SPA 5 of 5 (100%) · ALV 10 of 10 (100%)100%

Spalding United: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Alvechurch: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 5 of 5

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.32

SPA 3 of 5 (60%) · ALV 7 of 10 (70%)78.1%

Spalding United: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Alvechurch: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 5 of 5

SPALDING UNITED GOALS

Spalding United Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.20

SPA 5 of 5 (100%) · ALV 6 of 10 (60%)75.2%

Spalding United scored in 5 of 5 at home · Alvechurch conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 5

Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Spalding United or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Spalding United or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.4%

Spalding United goals →

Alvechurch goals ↓

0-09%

1-011%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.7%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

SPALDING UNITEDWDWWWWLDWL2.00 PPG

ALVECHURCHWWWWDLDWLD1.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SPALDING UNITED HOMExALVECHURCH AWAY

1.90SCORED A GAME1.600.80CONCEDED A GAME0.8030%CLEAN SHEETS40%0%FAILED TO SCORE0%

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

ALVECHURCH 0:3 HANDICAP

–

134 OF 142

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO

–

138 OF 151

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW

–

85 OF 93

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.09POINTS A GAME1.91+0.09GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.09-2.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.211LEAGUE GAMES11

Alvechurch: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

50%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

23%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

99%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

SPALDING UNITED OR DRAW

58%

NO · 80/85

ALVECHURCH OR DRAW

80%

OKAY · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

SPALDING UNITEDxALVECHURCH

5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME1.400.60CONCEDED A GAME0.801.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.240%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%20%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 5

SPALDING UNITED 3 · 60%DRAW 1ALVECHURCH 1 · 20%

1 of 5BOTH TEAMS SCORED

3 of 5OVER 1.5 GOALS

2 of 5OVER 2.5 GOALS

0 of 5OVER 3.5 GOALS

2024-10-05Spalding United 1 – 2 Alvechurch

2024-12-14Spalding United 1 – 0 Alvechurch

2025-04-12Spalding United 0 – 0 Alvechurch

2025-11-01Spalding United 2 – 0 Alvechurch

2026-02-14Spalding United 3 – 0 Alvechurch

TRENDS

Spalding United have scored in 90% of their games.

Alvechurch have scored in 80% of their games.

Spalding United kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Alvechurch kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards