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ENGLAND - FA CUP
Salisbury FC crestSFSAL
15:00Sat 17 Oct
EASEastbourne Borough crestEB

Salisbury FC vs Eastbourne Borough

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. FA Cup, 4th Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Salisbury FC have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition Salisbury FC have gone W W. Eastbourne Borough have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.

The numbers. Salisbury FC score 3.4 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Eastbourne Borough score 2.2 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal.

Head to head. In the last six meetings Salisbury FC have won two, drawn three and lost one. One of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Salisbury FC won one, two were drawn and Eastbourne Borough won one. The last time they met, on 7 Mar 2026, it finished Salisbury FC 2-0 Eastbourne Borough.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%; five of the last six meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.

The case against. Eastbourne Borough's record still gives them 35% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.

The read. Salisbury FC or the draw. A tight game. Both teams' records favour Salisbury FC. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%. Five of the last six meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Salisbury FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Salisbury FC Over 0.5 goals (Eastbourne Borough's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Salisbury FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Salisbury FC 1-1 Eastbourne Borough (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Salisbury FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.17
SAL 5 of 5 (100%) · EAS 4 of 10 (40%)72.9%
Salisbury FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Eastbourne Borough: the bet landed in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 5 of 6
Salisbury FC or Both Teams ScoreLEANHELD · the odds board 91%
1.10
SAL 5 of 5 (100%) · EAS 5 of 10 (50%)66.4%
Salisbury FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Eastbourne Borough: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 6
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.09
SAL 4 of 5 (80%) · EAS 8 of 10 (80%)88%
Salisbury FC: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Eastbourne Borough: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 6 of 6
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.25
SAL 2 of 5 (40%) · EAS 8 of 10 (80%)72.9%
Salisbury FC: under 4.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · Eastbourne Borough: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 6 of 6
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.59
SAL 2 of 5 (40%) · EAS 7 of 10 (70%)70.1%
Salisbury FC: under 3.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · Eastbourne Borough: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 5 of 6
Left off the list: Salisbury FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Salisbury FC Over 0.5 goals (Eastbourne Borough's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Salisbury FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 12.2%
Salisbury FC goals →
Eastbourne Borough goals ↓
0-06%
1-08%
2-07%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-17%
1-112%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-25%
1-28%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-32%
1-33%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.2%
0-40.7%
1-41%
2-40.9%
3-40.5%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
SALISBURY FCLWDWDWWWWW2.30 PPG
EASTBOURNE BOROUGHLLWWWWWWWW2.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SALISBURY FC HOMExEASTBOURNE BOROUGH AWAY
2.30SCORED A GAME2.200.70CONCEDED A GAME0.7040%CLEAN SHEETS50%9%FAILED TO SCORE0%
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.91POINTS A GAME1.90+1.09GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.80+3.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.411LEAGUE GAMES10
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
65%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
59%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
82%
NO · 85/90
SALISBURY FC OR DRAW
78%
NO · 80/85
EASTBOURNE BOROUGH OR DRAW
33%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
SALISBURY FCxEASTBOURNE BOROUGH
5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME2.000.60CONCEDED A GAME0.402.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 6
SALISBURY FC 2 · 33%DRAW 3EASTBOURNE BOROUGH 1 · 17%
1 of 6BOTH TEAMS SCORED
2 of 6OVER 1.5 GOALS
1 of 6OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 6OVER 3.5 GOALS
2019-12-14Salisbury FC 2 – 2 Eastbourne Borough
2020-01-07Salisbury FC 1 – 0 Eastbourne Borough
2024-12-26Salisbury FC 0 – 0 Eastbourne Borough
2025-04-21Salisbury FC 0 – 1 Eastbourne Borough
2025-09-20Salisbury FC 0 – 0 Eastbourne Borough
2026-03-07Salisbury FC 2 – 0 Eastbourne Borough
TRENDS
Salisbury FC have scored in 100% of their games.
Eastbourne Borough have scored in 80% of their games.
Salisbury FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Eastbourne Borough kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to head
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