Match details. FA Cup, 4th Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Salisbury FC have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition Salisbury FC have gone W W. Eastbourne Borough have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.
The numbers. Salisbury FC score 3.4 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Eastbourne Borough score 2.2 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Salisbury FC have won two, drawn three and lost one. One of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Salisbury FC won one, two were drawn and Eastbourne Borough won one. The last time they met, on 7 Mar 2026, it finished Salisbury FC 2-0 Eastbourne Borough.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%; five of the last six meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Eastbourne Borough's record still gives them 35% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. Salisbury FC or the draw. A tight game. Both teams' records favour Salisbury FC. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%. Five of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Salisbury FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Salisbury FC Over 0.5 goals (Eastbourne Borough's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Salisbury FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Salisbury FC 1-1 Eastbourne Borough (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).