Macclesfield FC vs Anstey Nomads
Match details. FA Cup, 4th Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Macclesfield FC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W D. In this competition Macclesfield FC have gone D W. Anstey Nomads have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W.
The numbers. Macclesfield FC score two and concede one a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Macclesfield FC average 6.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Anstey Nomads score 2.5 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Anstey Nomads average 9.5 shots (3.5 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The case against. Anstey Nomads's record still gives them 36% to win.
The read. Macclesfield FC or the draw. An open game. Anstey Nomads are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 77%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Anstey Nomads Over 0.5 goals (Macclesfield FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Macclesfield FC 2-1 Anstey Nomads (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).