LFLEI

15:00Sat 17 Oct

GUI

Leiston FC vs Guiseley FC

CLASS D

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THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

DOUBLE CHANCE

Class D

LFv

Double Chance: Draw or Guiseley FC

Leiston FC v Guiseley FC

England - FA Cup · 15:00

1.28odds

78%book

-2edge

1/1angles

THE READ

Match details. FA Cup, 4th Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Leiston FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L L. Guiseley FC have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W.

The numbers. Leiston FC score 1.7 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Guiseley FC score 2.2 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets.

The case against. A knockout game (4th Round Qualifying) with penalties if level, and Guiseley FC are not clearly stronger. Leiston FC's record still gives them 27% to win.

The read. Guiseley FC or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Guiseley FC the likelier winners; Guiseley FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Guiseley FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.

The bets. Best bet: Draw or Guiseley FC at 1.28, 73% on the records (Guiseley FC unbeaten in 5 of 6 away; Leiston FC failed to win 6 of 10). Backup: Guiseley FC Over 0.5 Goals at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Leiston FC Under 1.5 goals (Leiston FC's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Leiston FC 1-2 Guiseley FC (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Guiseley FC or Over 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.26

LEI 5 of 6 (83%) · GUI 8 of 10 (80%)78.7%

Guiseley FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · Leiston FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · the call is Guiseley FC or the draw: a knockout game (4th Round Qualifying) with penalties if level, and Guiseley FC are not clearly stronger (rule 8)

Guiseley FC or Over 1.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LEI 5 of 6 (83%) · GUI 8 of 10 (80%)78.7%

Double Chance: Draw or Guiseley FCMAININ CODES

1.28

LEI 5 of 6 (83%) · GUI 6 of 10 (60%)76.2%

Guiseley FC unbeaten in 5 of 6 away · Leiston FC failed to win 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%

Guiseley FC win or both teams scoreTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.13

LEI 5 of 6 (83%) · GUI 7 of 10 (70%)74.3%

Guiseley FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · Leiston FC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · the call is Guiseley FC or the draw: a knockout game (4th Round Qualifying) with penalties if level, and Guiseley FC are not clearly stronger (rule 8)

Guiseley FC (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY

1.45

LEI 4 of 5 (80%) · GUI 4 of 8 (50%)70.7%

Guiseley FC won 4 of 5 away (draws left out) · Leiston FC lost 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 69% · won 6, refunded 1, lost 3

Guiseley FC to WinTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.92

LEI 4 of 6 (67%) · GUI 4 of 10 (40%)54.9%

Guiseley FC won 4 of 6 away · Leiston FC lost 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · the call is Guiseley FC or the draw: a knockout game (4th Round Qualifying) with penalties if level, and Guiseley FC are not clearly stronger (rule 8)

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 86%

1.16

LEI 8 of 10 (80%) · GUI 4 of 6 (67%)64.7%

Leiston FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Guiseley FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 75%

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.54

LEI 7 of 10 (70%) · GUI 3 of 6 (50%)54%

Leiston FC: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Guiseley FC: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 65%

GUISELEY FC GOALS

Guiseley FC Over 0.5 goalsBACKUPIN CODES

1.13

LEI 5 of 6 (83%) · GUI 7 of 10 (70%)74.3%

Guiseley FC scored in 5 of 6 away · Leiston FC conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Leiston FC Under 1.5 goals (Leiston FC's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 9.7%

Leiston FC goals →

Guiseley FC goals ↓

0-06%

1-05%

2-04%

3-01%

4-00.4%

5-00.1%

0-18%

1-111%

2-16%

3-13%

4-10.8%

5-10.2%

0-28%

1-210%

2-26%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-35%

1-36%

2-34%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-42%

1-43%

2-42%

3-40.6%

4-40.2%

5-40.0%

0-50.8%

1-50.9%

2-50.6%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

LEISTON FCLDWWWLLLWD1.40 PPG

GUISELEY FCWDWWWWLWWW2.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

LEISTON FC HOMExGUISELEY FC AWAY

1.70SCORED A GAME2.401.50CONCEDED A GAME0.8030%CLEAN SHEETS40%25%FAILED TO SCORE0%

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.20POINTS A GAME2.08+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.17–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+4.80.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.410LEAGUE GAMES12

Guiseley FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

GUISELEY FC 0:2 HANDICAP

–

373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

89%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

72%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

82%

NO · 85/90

LEISTON FC OR DRAW

34%

NO · 80/85

GUISELEY FC OR DRAW

72%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

LEISTON FCxGUISELEY FC

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME2.202.00CONCEDED A GAME0.403.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Leiston FC have scored in 60% of their games.

Guiseley FC have scored in 90% of their games.

Leiston FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Guiseley FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheets