LFLEA

15:00Sat 17 Oct

YEO

Leatherhead FC vs Yeovil Town

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. FA Cup, 4th Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Leatherhead FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D W. Yeovil Town have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W W.

The numbers. Leatherhead FC score 1.5 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Yeovil Town score 2.4 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 68% against the records' 44%.

The read. No firm call: Yeovil Town are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Yeovil Town the likelier winners; Yeovil Town are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Yeovil Town Over 0.5 goals (Leatherhead FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Leatherhead FC 1-2 Yeovil Town (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Yeovil Town or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LEA 5 of 5 (100%) · YEO 4 of 6 (67%)78.2%

Yeovil Town: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Leatherhead FC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 at home · both last 10: 80%

Yeovil Town or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.16

LEA 4 of 5 (80%) · YEO 4 of 6 (67%)69.4%

Yeovil Town: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Leatherhead FC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 at home · both last 10: 70%

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 89%

1.12

LEA 4 of 6 (67%) · YEO 4 of 5 (80%)64.7%

Leatherhead FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home · Yeovil Town: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75%

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.41

LEA 4 of 6 (67%) · YEO 3 of 5 (60%)55.9%

Leatherhead FC: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home · Yeovil Town: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65%

LEATHERHEAD FC GOALS

Leatherhead FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

1.42

LEA 5 of 6 (83%) · YEO 3 of 5 (60%)65.1%

Leatherhead FC scored in 5 of 6 at home · Yeovil Town conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%

Left off the list: Yeovil Town Over 0.5 goals (Leatherhead FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 9.3%

Leatherhead FC goals →

Yeovil Town goals ↓

0-06%

1-06%

2-04%

3-02%

4-00.6%

5-00.1%

0-18%

1-112%

2-17%

3-13%

4-11.0%

5-10.2%

0-27%

1-29%

2-26%

3-23%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-34%

1-35%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-42%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.6%

4-40.2%

5-40.0%

0-50.5%

1-50.7%

2-50.4%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

LEATHERHEAD FCWLWWDWDDWL1.80 PPG

YEOVIL TOWNWWLLDWWDWW2.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

LEATHERHEAD FC HOMExYEOVIL TOWN AWAY

1.60SCORED A GAME2.701.10CONCEDED A GAME1.3050%CLEAN SHEETS30%0%FAILED TO SCORE0%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.45POINTS A GAME2.15-0.09GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.54–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.81.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.611LEAGUE GAMES13

Yeovil Town: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

YEOVIL TOWN 0:2 HANDICAP

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373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

89%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

69%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

54%

NO · 85/90

LEATHERHEAD FC OR DRAW

43%

NO · 80/85

YEOVIL TOWN OR DRAW

89%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

LEATHERHEAD FCxYEOVIL TOWN

5GAMES61.60SCORED A GAME2.331.80CONCEDED A GAME0.673.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS83%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%80%BOTH SCORE67%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.2–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Leatherhead FC have scored in 90% of their games.

Yeovil Town have scored in 100% of their games.

Leatherhead FC kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

Yeovil Town kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheets