FC Halifax Town vs South Shields
Match details. FA Cup, 4th Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. FC Halifax Town have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D L. South Shields have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W. In this competition South Shields have gone W W.
The numbers. FC Halifax Town score 2.7 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. South Shields score 1.6 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 24 Oct 2020, it finished FC Halifax Town 0-2 South Shields.
The case against. A knockout game (4th Round Qualifying) with penalties if level, and FC Halifax Town are not clearly stronger. South Shields's record still gives them 25% to win.
The read. FC Halifax Town or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Halifax Town the likelier winners; FC Halifax Town are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Halifax Town. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.
The bets. Best bet: FC Halifax Town or Draw at 1.22, 75% on the records (FC Halifax Town unbeaten in 6 of 6 at home; South Shields failed to win 3 of 5 away). Full cover: South Shields Over 0.5 Goals at 1.39. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: FC Halifax Town or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FC Halifax Town 2-1 South Shields (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).