EFEAS

15:00Sat 17 Oct

BRE

Eastleigh FC vs Brentwood Town FC

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. FA Cup, 4th Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Eastleigh FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L W. Brentwood Town FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D W.

The numbers. Eastleigh FC score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Brentwood Town FC score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Brentwood Town FC average 19.3 shots (8.3 on target), 8.3 corners and 1.0 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.

The case against. Brentwood Town FC's record still gives them 37% to win.

The read. Eastleigh FC or the draw. Brentwood Town FC are the stronger side on form and the table.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Eastleigh FC 1-1 Brentwood Town FC (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Eastleigh FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

EAS 5 of 5 (100%) · BRE 4 of 5 (80%)86.5%

Eastleigh FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Brentwood Town FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95%

Eastleigh FC or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 86%

1.16

EAS 2 of 5 (40%) · BRE 4 of 5 (80%)63.1%

Eastleigh FC: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · Brentwood Town FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75%

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.10

EAS 5 of 5 (100%) · BRE 5 of 5 (100%)95.6%

Eastleigh FC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Brentwood Town FC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.26

EAS 5 of 5 (100%) · BRE 4 of 5 (80%)85.4%

Eastleigh FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Brentwood Town FC: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70%

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.16

EAS 4 of 5 (80%) · BRE 4 of 5 (80%)71.5%

Eastleigh FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Brentwood Town FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.73

EAS 4 of 5 (80%) · BRE 3 of 5 (60%)62.7%

Eastleigh FC: both scored in 4 of 5 at home · Brentwood Town FC: both scored in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75%

BRENTWOOD TOWN FC GOALS

Brentwood Town FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

1.58

EAS 3 of 5 (60%) · BRE 4 of 5 (80%)64.1%

Brentwood Town FC scored in 3 of 5 away · Eastleigh FC conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80%

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.5%

Eastleigh FC goals →

Brentwood Town FC goals ↓

0-09%

1-010%

2-07%

3-03%

4-00.9%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.8%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

EASTLEIGH FCWDLDLWLDLL0.90 PPG

BRENTWOOD TOWN FCDWLLWWDWWL1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

EASTLEIGH FC HOMExBRENTWOOD TOWN FC AWAY

0.90SCORED A GAME2.301.60CONCEDED A GAME1.8020%CLEAN SHEETS10%15%FAILED TO SCORE25%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.15POINTS A GAME0.90-0.46GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.40-3.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.213LEAGUE GAMES10

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

84%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

55%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

79%

NO · 85/90

EASTLEIGH FC OR DRAW

86%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

BRENTWOOD TOWN FC OR DRAW

33%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

EASTLEIGH FCxBRENTWOOD TOWN FC

7GAMES61.43SCORED A GAME0.831.29CONCEDED A GAME2.002.7GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.886%OVER 1.5 GOALS83%43%OVER 2.5 GOALS67%86%BOTH SCORE50%3.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–9.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Eastleigh FC have scored in 90% of their games.

Brentwood Town FC have scored in 80% of their games.

Eastleigh FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Brentwood Town FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheets