CUCHE

15:00Sat 17 Oct

FOR

Chesham United vs Forest Green Rovers

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. FA Cup, 4th Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Chesham United have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W. In this competition Chesham United have gone W W. Forest Green Rovers have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L D.

The numbers. Chesham United score 2.3 and concede 2.6 a game in their last seven at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Forest Green Rovers score 1.4 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal.

The case against. Chesham United's record still gives them 48% to win.

The read. Forest Green Rovers or the draw. An open game. Chesham United are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Chesham United. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 74%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Chesham United 2-2 Forest Green Rovers (7% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Forest Green Rovers or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CHE 10 of 10 (100%) · FOR 7 of 7 (100%)93.8%

Forest Green Rovers: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Chesham United: the bet landed in 7 of 7 at home · both last 10: 100%

Forest Green Rovers win or both teams scoreIN CODES

1.09

CHE 8 of 10 (80%) · FOR 6 of 7 (86%)77.9%

Forest Green Rovers: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Chesham United: the bet landed in 6 of 7 at home · both last 10: 80%

Forest Green Rovers or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.19

CHE 7 of 10 (70%) · FOR 6 of 7 (86%)75%

Forest Green Rovers: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Chesham United: the bet landed in 6 of 7 at home · both last 10: 80%

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.14

CHE 7 of 7 (100%) · FOR 9 of 10 (90%)83.1%

Chesham United: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 7 at home · Forest Green Rovers: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95%

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.47

CHE 6 of 7 (86%) · FOR 6 of 10 (60%)64.4%

Chesham United: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 7 at home · Forest Green Rovers: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.54

CHE 4 of 7 (57%) · FOR 6 of 10 (60%)51.6%

Chesham United: both scored in 4 of 7 at home · Forest Green Rovers: both scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60%

CHESHAM UNITED GOALS

Chesham United Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

1.38

CHE 5 of 7 (71%) · FOR 8 of 10 (80%)67.5%

Chesham United scored in 5 of 7 at home · Forest Green Rovers conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%

FOREST GREEN ROVERS GOALS

Forest Green Rovers Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.09

CHE 8 of 10 (80%) · FOR 6 of 7 (86%)77.9%

Forest Green Rovers scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Chesham United conceded in 6 of 7 at home · both last 10: 80%

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CHE 7 of 7 (100%) · FOR 8 of 10 (80%)90%

Chesham United: the bet landed in 7 of 7 at home · Forest Green Rovers: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–2 7.3%

Chesham United goals →

Forest Green Rovers goals ↓

0-02%

1-03%

2-04%

3-03%

4-02%

5-00.7%

0-13%

1-17%

2-17%

3-15%

4-13%

5-11%

0-23%

1-27%

2-27%

3-25%

4-23%

5-21%

0-32%

1-34%

2-35%

3-33%

4-32%

5-30.8%

0-41.0%

1-42%

2-42%

3-42%

4-40.9%

5-40.4%

0-50.4%

1-50.8%

2-50.9%

3-50.7%

4-50.4%

5-50.2%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

CHESHAM UNITEDWWDLLWWLWL1.60 PPG

FOREST GREEN ROVERSLLLWWDLDDL0.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CHESHAM UNITED HOMExFOREST GREEN ROVERS AWAY

2.50SCORED A GAME1.402.20CONCEDED A GAME1.9020%CLEAN SHEETS20%36%FAILED TO SCORE17%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.18POINTS A GAME1.25-0.45GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.25–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.21.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.611LEAGUE GAMES12

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

94%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

81%

VERY GOOD · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

70%

NO · 85/90

CHESHAM UNITED OR DRAW

60%

NO · 80/85

FOREST GREEN ROVERS OR DRAW

71%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CHESHAM UNITEDxFOREST GREEN ROVERS

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.402.40CONCEDED A GAME1.403.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Chesham United failed to score in 36% of their games.

Forest Green Rovers failed to score in 17% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & against