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CROATIA - PRVA NL
NK Hrvace crestNHNKH
14:30Sat 17 Oct
NKKNK Kustosija Zagreb crestNK

NK Hrvace vs NK Kustosija Zagreb

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. Prva NL, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time. It is played at Gradski stadion Hrvace.

What's at stake. NK Hrvace are 16th on 7 points after 8 games, level on points with Kustosija. A win would take them above Kustosija. NK Kustosija Zagreb are 15th on 7 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Dubrava Zagreb, level on points with Hrvace. A win would take them above Dubrava Zagreb.

Form. NK Hrvace have won two, drawn one and lost five of their last eight, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D L. In this competition NK Hrvace have gone L W W D L L. NK Kustosija Zagreb have won one, drawn four and lost three of their last eight, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D L. In this competition NK Kustosija Zagreb have gone D L W D L D.

The numbers. NK Hrvace score 0.9 and concede 1.6 a game over their last eight, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. NK Kustosija Zagreb score 0.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal.

Head to head. In the last four meetings NK Hrvace have won none, drawn one and lost three. Three of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. The last time they met, on 25 Apr 2025, it finished NK Hrvace 2-4 NK Kustosija Zagreb.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%; three of the last four meetings went over 2.5.

The case against. NK Hrvace's record still gives them 22% to win.

The read. NK Kustosija Zagreb to win. NK Kustosija Zagreb are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour NK Kustosija Zagreb.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: NK Kustosija Zagreb Over 0.5 goals (NK Kustosija Zagreb's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: NK Hrvace 0-1 NK Kustosija Zagreb (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
NK Kustosija Zagreb or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NKH 5 of 5 (100%) · NKK 6 of 8 (75%)87.5%
NK Kustosija Zagreb: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · NK Hrvace: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 4 of 4 · NK Kustosija Zagreb: only games against sides at NK Hrvace's level · NK Hrvace: only games against sides at NK Kustosija Zagreb's level
Double Chance: Draw or NK Kustosija ZagrebLEANPAGE ONLY
1.53
NKH 4 of 5 (80%) · NKK 6 of 8 (75%)59.7%
NK Kustosija Zagreb unbeaten in 4 of 5 away · NK Hrvace failed to win 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 4 of 4 · NK Kustosija Zagreb: only games against sides at NK Hrvace's level · NK Hrvace: only games against sides at NK Kustosija Zagreb's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NKH 8 of 8 (100%) · NKK 5 of 5 (100%)95.6%
NK Hrvace: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · NK Kustosija Zagreb: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · H2H 3 of 4 · NK Hrvace: only games against sides at NK Kustosija Zagreb's level · NK Kustosija Zagreb: only games against sides at NK Hrvace's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NKH 7 of 8 (88%) · NKK 3 of 5 (60%)91.3%
NK Hrvace: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · NK Kustosija Zagreb: over 0.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 81% · H2H 4 of 4 · NK Hrvace: only games against sides at NK Kustosija Zagreb's level · NK Kustosija Zagreb: only games against sides at NK Hrvace's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NKH 7 of 8 (88%) · NKK 5 of 5 (100%)88.8%
NK Hrvace: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · NK Kustosija Zagreb: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · H2H 3 of 4 · NK Hrvace: only games against sides at NK Kustosija Zagreb's level · NK Kustosija Zagreb: only games against sides at NK Hrvace's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NKH 7 of 8 (88%) · NKK 5 of 5 (100%)91.1%
NK Hrvace: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · NK Kustosija Zagreb: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · H2H 3 of 4 · on half-time scores · NK Hrvace: only games against sides at NK Kustosija Zagreb's level · NK Kustosija Zagreb: only games against sides at NK Hrvace's level
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NKH 7 of 8 (88%) · NKK 5 of 5 (100%)69%
NK Hrvace: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · NK Kustosija Zagreb: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · H2H 1 of 4 · on half-time scores · NK Hrvace: only games against sides at NK Kustosija Zagreb's level · NK Kustosija Zagreb: only games against sides at NK Hrvace's level
Left off the list: NK Kustosija Zagreb Over 0.5 goals (NK Kustosija Zagreb's own games don't back it (2 of 5))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–1 8.6%
NK Hrvace goals →
NK Kustosija Zagreb goals ↓
0-09%
1-010%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-19%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-26%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.9%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 8
NK HRVACELLLLDWWL0.88 PPG
NK KUSTOSIJA ZAGREBDLDLDWLD0.88 PPG
THE NUMBERS
NK HRVACE HOMExNK KUSTOSIJA ZAGREB AWAY
0.88SCORED A GAME0.501.62CONCEDED A GAME0.7525%CLEAN SHEETS38%50%FAILED TO SCORE50%
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.88POINTS A GAME0.88-0.75GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.25+1.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.01.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.08LEAGUE GAMES8
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
46%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
33%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
NK HRVACE OR DRAW
86%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
NK KUSTOSIJA ZAGREB OR DRAW
73%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
NK HRVACExNK KUSTOSIJA ZAGREB
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME0.401.00CONCEDED A GAME0.602.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.060%OVER 1.5 GOALS20%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS0%40%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4
NK HRVACE 0 · 0%DRAW 1NK KUSTOSIJA ZAGREB 3 · 75%
4 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED
4 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS
3 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS
3 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS
2023-10-14NK Hrvace 1 – 3 NK Kustosija Zagreb
2024-04-20NK Hrvace 1 – 3 NK Kustosija Zagreb
2024-10-26NK Hrvace 1 – 1 NK Kustosija Zagreb
2025-04-25NK Hrvace 2 – 4 NK Kustosija Zagreb
TRENDS
NK Hrvace failed to score in 50% of their games.
NK Kustosija Zagreb failed to score in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague table
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