Match details. Prva NL, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time. It is played at Gradski stadion Hrvace.
What's at stake. NK Hrvace are 16th on 7 points after 8 games, level on points with Kustosija. A win would take them above Kustosija. NK Kustosija Zagreb are 15th on 7 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Dubrava Zagreb, level on points with Hrvace. A win would take them above Dubrava Zagreb.
Form. NK Hrvace have won two, drawn one and lost five of their last eight, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D L. In this competition NK Hrvace have gone L W W D L L. NK Kustosija Zagreb have won one, drawn four and lost three of their last eight, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D L. In this competition NK Kustosija Zagreb have gone D L W D L D.
The numbers. NK Hrvace score 0.9 and concede 1.6 a game over their last eight, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. NK Kustosija Zagreb score 0.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last four meetings NK Hrvace have won none, drawn one and lost three. Three of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. The last time they met, on 25 Apr 2025, it finished NK Hrvace 2-4 NK Kustosija Zagreb.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%; three of the last four meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. NK Hrvace's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. NK Kustosija Zagreb to win. NK Kustosija Zagreb are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour NK Kustosija Zagreb.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: NK Kustosija Zagreb Over 0.5 goals (NK Kustosija Zagreb's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: NK Hrvace 0-1 NK Kustosija Zagreb (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).