CA Progreso vs CA Juventud de Las Piedras
Match details. Primera Division, Clausura - 11. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo.
What's at stake. CA Progreso are 9th on 13 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Wanderers, 1 point clear of Boston River. A win would take them above Wanderers. CA Juventud de Las Piedras are 7th on 17 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Cerro, 2 points clear of Wanderers. A win would take them above Cerro.
Form. CA Progreso have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W L. In this competition CA Progreso have gone D L W W L W. CA Juventud de Las Piedras have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W D. In this competition CA Juventud de Las Piedras have gone W D D W D D.
The numbers. CA Progreso score one and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. CA Juventud de Las Piedras score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CA Progreso have won three, drawn two and lost five. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, CA Progreso won one, one was drawn and CA Juventud de Las Piedras won two. The last time they met, on 16 May 2026, it finished CA Progreso 0-2 CA Juventud de Las Piedras.
The case against. CA Progreso's record still gives them 20% to win.
The read. CA Juventud de Las Piedras to win. A tight game. CA Juventud de Las Piedras are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CA Juventud de Las Piedras; the meetings favour CA Juventud de Las Piedras. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.34, 75% on the records (CA Progreso: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10; CA Juventud de Las Piedras: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Backup: CA Juventud de Las Piedras or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.23. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CA Progreso 0-1 CA Juventud de Las Piedras (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).