Tobol Kostanay vs FC Zhenis
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 23. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at Centralnyj Stadion, Kostanay. The referee is D. Sakhi.
What's at stake. Tobol Kostanay are 7th on 37 points after 27 games, 4 points behind Yelimay Semey, 2 points clear of Ulytau. FC Zhenis are 9th on 32 points after 27 games, 3 points behind Ulytau, level on points with Kaspiy. A win would take them level on points with Ulytau. Tobol Kostanay have nothing left to play for, while FC Zhenis need the win.
Form. Tobol Kostanay have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L. In this competition Tobol Kostanay have gone W L W W L W. FC Zhenis have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. In this competition FC Zhenis have gone L L W L L W.
The numbers. Tobol Kostanay score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. FC Zhenis score 1.3 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Tobol Kostanay have won one, drawn four and lost two. Three of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Tobol Kostanay won one, two were drawn and FC Zhenis won one. The last time they met, on 3 May 2026, it finished Tobol Kostanay 0-1 FC Zhenis.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%; four of the last seven meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Tobol Kostanay have nothing to play for and FC Zhenis need the win. FC Zhenis's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. Tobol Kostanay or the draw. Their goals for and against make Tobol Kostanay the likelier winners; Tobol Kostanay are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Tobol Kostanay.
The bets. Best bet: Tobol Kostanay or Draw at 1.27, 79% on the records (Tobol Kostanay unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; FC Zhenis failed to win 7 of 10). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Tobol Kostanay 1-1 FC Zhenis (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).