Match details. Thai League 1, Regular Season - 5. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time. It is played at OBD Stadium, Mueang Chon Buri.
What's at stake. Chonburi FC are 16th on 0 points after 4 games, 1 point behind Rasi Salai United. A win would take them above Rasi Salai United. Prachuap FC are 4th on 9 points after 4 games, level on points with Bangkok United, level on points with Port FC. A win would take them above Bangkok United.
Form. Chonburi FC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W. Prachuap FC have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L D.
The numbers. Chonburi FC score 1.7 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Chonburi FC average 12.1 shots (4.1 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Prachuap FC score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Prachuap FC average 7.8 shots (3.0 on target), 4.1 corners and 3.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Chonburi FC have won four, drawn two and lost four. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Chonburi FC won one, two were drawn and Prachuap FC won one. The last time they met, on 18 Apr 2026, it finished Chonburi FC 0-2 Prachuap FC: Chonburi FC had 14 shots to 16, 48% of the ball, three yellow cards.
The case against. Chonburi FC's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. Prachuap FC to win. Prachuap FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Prachuap FC.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Chonburi FC Under 1.5 goals (Chonburi FC's own games don't back it (2 of 6)). Predicted score: Chonburi FC 0-1 Prachuap FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).