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LITHUANIA - TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys crestFPFKP
12:15Sat 17 Oct
FKBFK Banga Gargzdai crestFB

FK Panevezys vs FK Banga Gargzdai

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. TOPLYGA, Regular Season - 33. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 12:15 Lagos time. It is played at Aukstaitijos Stadium.

What's at stake. FK Panevezys are 7th on 32 points after 28 games, 6 points behind Džiugas Telšiai, 6 points clear of Hegelmann Litauen. FK Banga Gargzdai are 5th on 41 points after 28 games, 4 points behind TransINVEST Vilnius, 3 points clear of Džiugas Telšiai. FK Panevezys have nothing left to play for. FK Banga Gargzdai have nothing left to play for.

Form. FK Panevezys have won four, drawn one and lost three of their last eight, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L. In this competition FK Panevezys have gone L W W W L L. FK Banga Gargzdai have won three, drawn two and lost four of their last nine, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D D. In this competition FK Banga Gargzdai have gone W L L D D W.

The numbers. FK Panevezys score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game over their last eight, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. FK Panevezys average 3.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game. FK Banga Gargzdai score 1.1 and concede 1.6 a game over their last nine, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. FK Banga Gargzdai average 4.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings FK Panevezys have won five, drawn three and lost two. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, FK Panevezys won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 3 Sep 2026, it finished FK Panevezys 3-0 FK Banga Gargzdai.

The case against. FK Banga Gargzdai's record still gives them 27% to win.

The read. FK Panevezys to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make FK Panevezys the likelier winners; both teams' records favour FK Panevezys; the meetings favour FK Panevezys. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FK Panevezys 1-0 FK Banga Gargzdai (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FKP 8 of 8 (100%) · FKB 9 of 9 (100%)94.8%
FK Panevezys: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FK Banga Gargzdai: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · FK Panevezys: only games against sides at FK Banga Gargzdai's level · FK Banga Gargzdai: only games against sides at FK Panevezys's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.10
FKP 8 of 8 (100%) · FKB 8 of 9 (89%)87.3%
FK Panevezys: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FK Banga Gargzdai: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 6 of 6 · FK Panevezys: only games against sides at FK Banga Gargzdai's level · FK Banga Gargzdai: only games against sides at FK Panevezys's level
FK PANEVEZYS GOALS
FK Panevezys Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.29
FKP 5 of 8 (62%) · FKB 7 of 9 (78%)80.5%
FK Panevezys scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FK Banga Gargzdai conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 6 of 6 · FK Panevezys: only games against sides at FK Banga Gargzdai's level · FK Banga Gargzdai: only games against sides at FK Panevezys's level
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.39
FKP 6 of 8 (75%) · FKB 7 of 9 (78%)74%
FK Panevezys: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FK Banga Gargzdai: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · FK Panevezys: only games against sides at FK Banga Gargzdai's level · FK Banga Gargzdai: only games against sides at FK Panevezys's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–0 11%
FK Panevezys goals →
FK Banga Gargzdai goals ↓
0-08%
1-011%
2-010%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.7%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.3%
1-40.5%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 9
FK PANEVEZYSDWLLWWWL1.62 PPG
FK BANGA GARGZDAILWLWDDLLW1.22 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FK PANEVEZYS HOMExFK BANGA GARGZDAI AWAY
1.38SCORED A GAME1.110.75CONCEDED A GAME1.5630%CLEAN SHEETS20%34%FAILED TO SCORE37%3.79CORNERS A GAME4.822.04CARDS A GAME1.82
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.22POINTS A GAME1.38-0.11GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00-4.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.81.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.09LEAGUE GAMES8
FK Banga Gargzdai: the quality side - more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
63%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
32%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
99%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
FK PANEVEZYS OR DRAW
52%
NO · 80/85
FK BANGA GARGZDAI OR DRAW
65%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
FK PANEVEZYSxFK BANGA GARGZDAI
5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME0.600.80CONCEDED A GAME1.201.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.860%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%20%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
FK PANEVEZYS 5 · 50%DRAW 3FK BANGA GARGZDAI 2 · 20%
4 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
6 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
3 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2024-05-11FK Panevezys 0 – 2 FK Banga Gargzdai
2024-06-29FK Panevezys 0 – 1 FK Banga Gargzdai
2024-09-15FK Panevezys 3 – 2 FK Banga Gargzdai
2025-03-30FK Panevezys 1 – 1 FK Banga Gargzdai
2025-05-23FK Panevezys 1 – 1 FK Banga Gargzdai
2025-08-20FK Panevezys 1 – 0 FK Banga Gargzdai
2025-10-18FK Panevezys 2 – 2 FK Banga Gargzdai
2026-03-21FK Panevezys 1 – 0 FK Banga Gargzdai
TRENDS
FK Panevezys have scored in 70% of their games.
FK Banga Gargzdai have scored in 60% of their games.
FK Panevezys kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
FK Banga Gargzdai kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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