Match details. Super League 2, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Pas Pyrgos are 12th on 5 points after 6 games, level on points with Anagennisi Karditsas, level on points with Olympiakos Piraeus II. A win would take them above Anagennisi Karditsas. Anagennisi Karditsas 1904 are 11th on 5 points after 6 games, 2 points behind Niki Volos, level on points with Pyrgos 1968. A win would take them above Niki Volos.
Form. Pas Pyrgos have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L L. Anagennisi Karditsas 1904 have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D L.
The numbers. Pas Pyrgos score 0.5 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and seven games without a goal. Pas Pyrgos average 6.3 shots (1.7 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Anagennisi Karditsas 1904 score 0.3 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Anagennisi Karditsas 1904 average 7.4 shots (3.3 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
The case against. Anagennisi Karditsas 1904's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. Pas Pyrgos to win. A tight game. Pas Pyrgos are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Pas Pyrgos. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 27%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Anagennisi Karditsas 1904 or Under 2.5 Goals (the call backs Pas Pyrgos). Predicted score: Pas Pyrgos 1-0 Anagennisi Karditsas 1904 (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).