ALAEL

12:45Sun 18 Oct

PAN

AE Larissa FC vs Panserraikos FC

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Super League 2, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 12:45 Lagos time. It is played at AEL FC Arena, Larissa.

What's at stake. AE Larissa FC are 4th on 11 points after 6 games, 2 points behind Panionios, 1 point clear of Ellas Syros. A win would take them above Panionios. Panserraikos FC are 6th on 10 points after 6 games, level on points with Ellas Syros, 2 points clear of Panthrakikos. A win would take them above Ellas Syros.

Form. AE Larissa FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W D. Panserraikos FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L L.

The numbers. AE Larissa FC score 1.7 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. AE Larissa FC average 9.7 shots (4.2 on target), 3.5 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Panserraikos FC score 0.6 and concede 3.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Panserraikos FC average 9.3 shots (3.9 on target), 3.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last eight meetings AE Larissa FC have won three, drawn two and lost three. One of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, AE Larissa FC won two, one was drawn and Panserraikos FC won one. The last time they met, on 2 May 2026, it finished AE Larissa FC 1-1 Panserraikos FC: AE Larissa FC had 6 shots to 11, 53% of the ball, nine yellow cards.

The case against. Panserraikos FC's record still gives them 33% to win.

The read. AE Larissa FC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make AE Larissa FC the likelier winners; AE Larissa FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 31%. Seven of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: AE Larissa FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); AE Larissa FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AE Larissa FC 1-0 Panserraikos FC (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

AE Larissa FC or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY

no price yet

AEL 4 of 5 (80%) · PAN 5 of 6 (83%)76.7%

AE Larissa FC scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Panserraikos FC trailed or failed to win in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · AE Larissa FC: only games against sides at Panserraikos FC's level · Panserraikos FC: only games against sides at AE Larissa FC's level

AE Larissa FC 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

AEL 4 of 5 (80%) · PAN 4 of 6 (67%)65.6%

AE Larissa FC scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Panserraikos FC trailed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · AE Larissa FC: only games against sides at Panserraikos FC's level · Panserraikos FC: only games against sides at AE Larissa FC's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

AEL 6 of 6 (100%) · PAN 6 of 6 (100%)95.3%

AE Larissa FC: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Panserraikos FC: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · AE Larissa FC: only games against sides at Panserraikos FC's level · Panserraikos FC: only games against sides at AE Larissa FC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

AEL 6 of 6 (100%) · PAN 5 of 6 (83%)88%

AE Larissa FC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Panserraikos FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · H2H 6 of 6 · AE Larissa FC: only games against sides at Panserraikos FC's level · Panserraikos FC: only games against sides at AE Larissa FC's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

AEL 5 of 6 (83%) · PAN 5 of 6 (83%)83.3%

AE Larissa FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Panserraikos FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · AE Larissa FC: only games against sides at Panserraikos FC's level · Panserraikos FC: only games against sides at AE Larissa FC's level

Left off the list: AE Larissa FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); AE Larissa FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 11%

AE Larissa FC goals →

Panserraikos FC goals ↓

0-08%

1-011%

2-09%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-22%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.6%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

AE LARISSA FCWWLDWDWWDL1.80 PPG

PANSERRAIKOS FCLWLLWLLWDW1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AE LARISSA FC HOMExPANSERRAIKOS FC AWAY

1.70SCORED A GAME1.201.00CONCEDED A GAME2.2040%CLEAN SHEETS10%17%FAILED TO SCORE17%3.50CORNERS A GAME3.303.00CARDS A GAME2.30

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.83POINTS A GAME1.67+0.83GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.50+3.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.02.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.06LEAGUE GAMES6

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

58%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

43%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

95%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

AE LARISSA FC OR DRAW

96%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

PANSERRAIKOS FC OR DRAW

34%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

AE LARISSA FCxPANSERRAIKOS FC

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.800.60CONCEDED A GAME1.002.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.840%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%20%BOTH SCORE80%4.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.86.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES7.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 8

AE LARISSA FC 3 · 38%DRAW 2PANSERRAIKOS FC 3 · 38%

2 of 8BOTH TEAMS SCORED

3 of 8OVER 1.5 GOALS

1 of 8OVER 2.5 GOALS

0 of 8OVER 3.5 GOALS

2022-02-27AE Larissa FC 1 – 0 Panserraikos FC

2022-12-22AE Larissa FC 1 – 2 Panserraikos FC

2023-05-03AE Larissa FC 0 – 0 Panserraikos FC

2024-09-26AE Larissa FC 0 – 1 Panserraikos FC

2025-10-25AE Larissa FC 2 – 0 Panserraikos FC

2026-01-24AE Larissa FC 1 – 0 Panserraikos FC

2026-04-26AE Larissa FC 0 – 1 Panserraikos FC

2026-05-02AE Larissa FC 1 – 1 Panserraikos FC

TRENDS

AE Larissa FC have scored in 80% of their games.

Panserraikos FC have scored in 70% of their games.

AE Larissa FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Panserraikos FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards