Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao West Coast FC
Qingdao West Coast FC scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 away · Beijing Guoan conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 5 of 6 · Qingdao West Coast FC: only games against sides at Beijing Guoan's level · Beijing Guoan: only games against sides at Qingdao West Coast FC's level
Match details. Chinese Super League, Regular Season - 28. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time. It is played at Beijing Workers' Stadium.
What's at stake. Beijing Guoan are 3rd on 41 points after 27 games, 5 points behind Dalian Zhixing, level on points with Shandong Luneng. Qingdao West Coast FC are 6th on 38 points after 27 games, 1 point behind Yunnan Yukun, 2 points clear of SHANGHAI SIPG. A win would take them above Yunnan Yukun.
Form. Beijing Guoan have won five, drawn five and lost none of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D D W. In this competition Beijing Guoan have gone W D D D W W. Qingdao West Coast FC have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W D. In this competition Qingdao West Coast FC have gone L D D W D D.
The numbers. Beijing Guoan score 2.3 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Beijing Guoan average 13.0 shots (5.5 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Qingdao West Coast FC score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Qingdao West Coast FC average 12.4 shots (3.1 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Beijing Guoan have won four, drawn two and lost none. Four of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Beijing Guoan won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 19 May 2026, it finished Beijing Guoan 1-1 Qingdao West Coast FC: Beijing Guoan had 18 shots to 8, 70% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 70% against the records' 43%.
The read. No firm call: Beijing Guoan are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Beijing Guoan the likelier winners; Beijing Guoan are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Beijing Guoan. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%. Four of the last six meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.13, 80% on the records (Beijing Guoan: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10; Qingdao West Coast FC: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Full cover: Qingdao West Coast FC Under 1.5 Goals at 1.32. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Beijing Guoan or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Beijing Guoan Over 1.5 goals (Qingdao West Coast FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Beijing Guoan 2-1 Qingdao West Coast FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).