RMREA

11:00Sun 18 Oct

ANT

Real Madrid Castilla vs Antequera CF

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 2 - 8. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time. The referee is I. Irurtzun.

What's at stake. Real Madrid Castilla are 13th on 9 points after 7 games, level on points with Atlético Madrid II, 1 point clear of Sant Andreu. A win would take them above Atlético Madrid II. Antequera CF are 10th on 10 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Huesca, level on points with Algeciras. A win would take them above Huesca.

Form. Real Madrid Castilla have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D L. Antequera CF have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W D D.

The numbers. Real Madrid Castilla score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Real Madrid Castilla average 9.5 shots (3.0 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Antequera CF score 1.6 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Antequera CF average 9.4 shots (3.9 on target), 3.4 corners and 2.8 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last four meetings Real Madrid Castilla have won one, drawn two and lost one. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 16 Feb 2025, it finished Real Madrid Castilla 0-0 Antequera CF.

The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Real Madrid Castilla 1-1 Antequera CF (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

REA 8 of 8 (100%) · ANT 10 of 10 (100%)95.3%

Real Madrid Castilla: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Antequera CF: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 4 of 4 · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at Antequera CF's level · Antequera CF: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

REA 7 of 8 (88%) · ANT 9 of 10 (90%)88.1%

Real Madrid Castilla: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Antequera CF: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · H2H 4 of 4 · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at Antequera CF's level · Antequera CF: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.71

REA 5 of 8 (62%) · ANT 6 of 10 (60%)52.7%

Real Madrid Castilla: both scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Antequera CF: both scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 61% · H2H 2 of 4 · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at Antequera CF's level · Antequera CF: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level

REAL MADRID CASTILLA GOALS

Real Madrid Castilla Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

REA 6 of 8 (75%) · ANT 7 of 10 (70%)75.4%

Real Madrid Castilla scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Antequera CF conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 2 of 4 · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at Antequera CF's level · Antequera CF: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level

Real Madrid Castilla Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.86

REA 5 of 8 (62%) · ANT 7 of 10 (70%)59.1%

Real Madrid Castilla scored under 1.5 in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Antequera CF conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · H2H 3 of 4 · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at Antequera CF's level · Antequera CF: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level

ANTEQUERA CF GOALS

Antequera CF Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.45

REA 9 of 10 (90%) · ANT 6 of 8 (75%)69.1%

Antequera CF scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Real Madrid Castilla conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · H2H 2 of 4 · Antequera CF: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at Antequera CF's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.3%

Real Madrid Castilla goals →

Antequera CF goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.8%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

REAL MADRID CASTILLADWLDWLDLWD1.30 PPG

ANTEQUERA CFWWWWLDDWDD1.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

REAL MADRID CASTILLA HOMExANTEQUERA CF AWAY

1.20SCORED A GAME1.601.20CONCEDED A GAME1.0030%CLEAN SHEETS30%29%FAILED TO SCORE14%4.50CORNERS A GAME3.442.50CARDS A GAME2.78

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.29POINTS A GAME1.43+0.14GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.29-0.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.31.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.47LEAGUE GAMES7

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

80%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

33%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

85%

OKAY · 85/90

REAL MADRID CASTILLA OR DRAW

83%

OKAY · 80/85

ANTEQUERA CF OR DRAW

50%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

REAL MADRID CASTILLAxANTEQUERA CF

5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.601.40CONCEDED A GAME1.202.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4

REAL MADRID CASTILLA 1 · 25%DRAW 2ANTEQUERA CF 1 · 25%

2 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED

2 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS

2 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS

0 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS

2023-09-03Real Madrid Castilla 2 – 1 Antequera CF

2024-03-09Real Madrid Castilla 0 – 0 Antequera CF

2024-11-17Real Madrid Castilla 1 – 2 Antequera CF

2025-02-16Real Madrid Castilla 0 – 0 Antequera CF

TRENDS

Real Madrid Castilla have scored in 70% of their games.

Antequera CF have scored in 90% of their games.

Real Madrid Castilla kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Antequera CF kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards