Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 1 - 8. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Municipal de Fadura, Getxo. The referee is F. Crespo Puente.
What's at stake. Arenas Club Getxo are 20th on 2 points after 7 games, 3 points behind UD Ourense. A win would take them level on points with UD Ourense. Merida AD are 12th on 9 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Extremadura 1924, level on points with Barakaldo. A win would take them above Extremadura 1924.
Form. Arenas Club Getxo have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L. Merida AD have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L L.
The numbers. Arenas Club Getxo score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Arenas Club Getxo average 12.2 shots (5.4 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Merida AD score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Merida AD average 12.4 shots (4.5 on target), 4.5 corners and 3.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Arenas Club Getxo have won one, drawn none and lost one. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 24 Apr 2026, it finished Arenas Club Getxo 2-0 Merida AD.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); 2nd Half - Double Chance: Draw or Merida AD (no result call); Merida AD or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Arenas Club Getxo 1-1 Merida AD (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).