Match details. 2. Liga, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time. It is played at Max-Aicher-Stadion, Salzburg. The referee is A. Sadikovski.
What's at stake. Austria Salzburg are 4th on 16 points after 9 games, level on points with Austria Vienna (Am), 1 point clear of Admira Wacker. A win would take them above Austria Vienna (Am). Blau-Weiss Linz are 1st on 22 points after 9 games, level on points with First Vienna.
Form. Austria Salzburg have won five, drawn one and lost three of their last nine, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D L. In this competition Austria Salzburg have gone W W L D L W. Blau-Weiss Linz have won seven, drawn one and lost one of their last nine, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W L. In this competition Blau-Weiss Linz have gone W D W W L W.
The numbers. Austria Salzburg score 1.9 and concede 1.4 a game over their last nine, with two clean sheets. Blau-Weiss Linz score 2.8 and concede 0.7 a game over their last nine, with four clean sheets.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 16 Jul 2014, it finished Austria Salzburg 2-0 Blau-Weiss Linz.
The case against. Austria Salzburg's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. Blau-Weiss Linz to win. An open game. Blau-Weiss Linz are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Blau-Weiss Linz. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Austria Salzburg or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Blau-Weiss Linz); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Austria Salzburg 1-2 Blau-Weiss Linz (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).