Match details. Sabah Masazir host Borussia Dortmund in the UEFA Champions League, League Stage - 3 on Tue 20 Oct, 17:45 Lagos time. The match is played at Bank Respublika Arena, Masazyr (Masazir). Javier Alberola Rojas is the referee.
What's at stake. Sabah Masazir are 22nd on 3 points after 2 games, level on points with RB Leipzig and Feyenoord. A win would take them above RB Leipzig. Borussia Dortmund sit 18th on 3 points after 2 games, level on points with Manchester City and Lens. A win would take them above Manchester City.
Team news. Borussia Dortmund are without E. Can due to a knee injury, K. Karetsas with an ankle injury, G. Konstantelias with a knee injury, and J. Lerma with a muscle injury.
Form. Sabah Masazir have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, averaging 2.2 points a game. Their last five results are W W D W W. Borussia Dortmund have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, picking up 2.0 points a game, with a last five reading D L D W W. In this competition Borussia Dortmund have gone L W.
The numbers. Sabah Masazir score 2.2 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and two games without a goal. They average 13.6 shots (6.2 on target), 4.7 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. Borussia Dortmund score 1.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. They average 16.5 shots (5.9 on target), 7.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 56% of the ball.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Sabah Masazir or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Borussia Dortmund or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Borussia Dortmund or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Sabah Masazir 2-1 Borussia Dortmund (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).