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20:00Fri 23 Oct

MID

Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough FC

CLASS E

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THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TOTAL GOALS

Class E

BWv

Under 3.5 Goals

Bolton Wanderers v Middlesbrough FC

England - Championship · 20:00

1.65odds

61%book

+11edge

1/1angles

THE READ

Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Toughsheet Community Stadium, Horwich.

What's at stake. Bolton Wanderers are 15th on 14 points after 11 games, level on points with Wrexham, level on points with Bristol City. A win would take them above Wrexham. Middlesbrough FC are 3rd on 22 points after 11 games, level on points with West Ham, 2 points clear of Birmingham. A win would take them above West Ham.

Team news. Bolton Wanderers are without C. Forino-Joseph (groin injury), C. Forino-Joseph (groin injury). Middlesbrough FC are without A. Jones (calf injury), R. Pukstas (injury), D. Strelec (injury), A. Jones (calf injury), R. Pukstas (injury), D. Strelec (injury).

Form. Bolton Wanderers have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W W. Middlesbrough FC have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D D.

The numbers. Bolton Wanderers score 1.3 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Bolton Wanderers average 14.2 shots (5.0 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. Middlesbrough FC score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Middlesbrough FC average 18.8 shots (6.5 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 58% of the ball.

Head to head. Middlesbrough FC have won all of the last nine meetings. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Middlesbrough FC won four. The last time they met, on 29 Aug 2023, it finished Bolton Wanderers 1-3 Middlesbrough FC: Bolton Wanderers had 6 shots to 16, 46% of the ball, six yellow cards.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%. Not everything agrees on goals: five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.

The read. Middlesbrough FC to win. A tight game. Middlesbrough FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Middlesbrough FC; the meetings favour Middlesbrough FC.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.65, 70% on the records (Bolton Wanderers: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 10; Middlesbrough FC: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 9). Backup: Under 5.5 Goals at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Bolton Wanderers Under 1.5 goals (Middlesbrough FC's own games don't back it (4 of 9)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Bolton Wanderers 0-1 Middlesbrough FC (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Middlesbrough FC or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.12

BOL 5 of 5 (100%) · MID 9 of 9 (100%)93.3%

Middlesbrough FC scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Bolton Wanderers trailed or failed to win in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Bolton Wanderers's level · Bolton Wanderers: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level

Middlesbrough FC to Win Either Half: YesSETTLEDPAGE ONLY

1.29

BOL 9 of 9 (100%) · MID 5 of 10 (50%)81.3%

Middlesbrough FC: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Bolton Wanderers: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Bolton Wanderers's level · Bolton Wanderers: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level · rule 2: the meetings back Middlesbrough FC: in the last 9 meetin

Middlesbrough FC (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY

1.34

BOL 5 of 5 (100%) · MID 5 of 8 (62%)79.2%

Middlesbrough FC won 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Bolton Wanderers lost 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 6 of 6 · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Bolton Wanderers's level · Bolton Wanderers: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level · won 5, refunded 2, lost 2

Double Chance: Draw or Middlesbrough FCPAGE ONLY

1.17

BOL 9 of 9 (100%) · MID 7 of 10 (70%)78.4%

Middlesbrough FC unbeaten in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Bolton Wanderers failed to win 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 6 of 6 · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Bolton Wanderers's level · Bolton Wanderers: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level

1st Half Result or Match Result: Middlesbrough FCSETTLEDPAGE ONLY

1.34

BOL 7 of 9 (78%) · MID 5 of 10 (50%)72.9%

Middlesbrough FC: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Bolton Wanderers: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Bolton Wanderers's level · Bolton Wanderers: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level · rule 2: the meetings back Middlesbrough FC: in the last 9 meetin

Middlesbrough FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.18

BOL 6 of 9 (67%) · MID 8 of 10 (80%)71.2%

Middlesbrough FC: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Bolton Wanderers: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · H2H 6 of 6 · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Bolton Wanderers's level · Bolton Wanderers: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level

Middlesbrough FC 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

1.30

BOL 3 of 5 (60%) · MID 7 of 9 (78%)65.9%

Middlesbrough FC scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Bolton Wanderers trailed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Bolton Wanderers's level · Bolton Wanderers: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level

Middlesbrough FC or draw and under 3.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.93

BOL 4 of 10 (40%) · MID 3 of 9 (33%)55.4%

Bolton Wanderers: the bet landed in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Middlesbrough FC: the bet landed in 3 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 37% · H2H 5 of 6 · Bolton Wanderers: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Bolton Wanderers's level

Middlesbrough FC to WinLEANPAGE ONLY

1.58

BOL 5 of 9 (56%) · MID 5 of 10 (50%)51.5%

Middlesbrough FC won 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Bolton Wanderers lost 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 53% · H2H 6 of 6 · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Bolton Wanderers's level · Bolton Wanderers: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES

1.11

BOL 9 of 10 (90%) · MID 8 of 9 (89%)96.9%

Bolton Wanderers: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Middlesbrough FC: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · H2H 6 of 6 · Bolton Wanderers: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Bolton Wanderers's level

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.27

BOL 7 of 10 (70%) · MID 7 of 9 (78%)92.7%

Bolton Wanderers: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Middlesbrough FC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · H2H 6 of 6 · Bolton Wanderers: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Bolton Wanderers's level

Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.65

BOL 5 of 10 (50%) · MID 3 of 9 (33%)72.5%

Bolton Wanderers: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Middlesbrough FC: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 42% · H2H 5 of 6 · Bolton Wanderers: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Bolton Wanderers's level

BOLTON WANDERERS GOALS

Bolton Wanderers Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

1.42

BOL 6 of 10 (60%) · MID 7 of 9 (78%)54.4%

Bolton Wanderers scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Middlesbrough FC conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 2 of 6 · Bolton Wanderers: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Bolton Wanderers's level

MIDDLESBROUGH FC GOALS

Middlesbrough FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.10

BOL 9 of 9 (100%) · MID 7 of 10 (70%)82.8%

Middlesbrough FC scored in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Bolton Wanderers conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 6 of 6 · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Bolton Wanderers's level · Bolton Wanderers: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level

Left off the list: Bolton Wanderers Under 1.5 goals (Middlesbrough FC's own games don't back it (4 of 9)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 8.9%

Bolton Wanderers goals →

Middlesbrough FC goals ↓

0-07%

1-07%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.6%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-17%

3-13%

4-11.0%

5-10.2%

0-27%

1-29%

2-26%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-34%

1-35%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.4%

1-50.5%

2-50.3%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

BOLTON WANDERERSDWLWWLLLLD1.10 PPG

MIDDLESBROUGH FCDWWDDWLWDW1.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BOLTON WANDERERS HOMExMIDDLESBROUGH FC AWAY

1.36SCORED A GAME2.001.64CONCEDED A GAME1.4530%CLEAN SHEETS20%36%FAILED TO SCORE0%5.36CORNERS A GAME5.822.12CARDS A GAME1.381.50xG2.001.81xG AGAINST1.07

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.27POINTS A GAME2.00-0.27GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.55+0.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+4.82.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.811LEAGUE GAMES11

Middlesbrough FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.

MIDDLESBROUGH FC 0:2 HANDICAP

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373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

72%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

71%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

71%

NO · 85/90

BOLTON WANDERERS OR DRAW

48%

NO · 80/85

MIDDLESBROUGH FC OR DRAW

71%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

BOLTON WANDERERSxMIDDLESBROUGH FC

5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.601.40CONCEDED A GAME1.402.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.060%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9

BOLTON WANDERERS 0 · 0%DRAW 0MIDDLESBROUGH FC 9 · 100%

3 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED

8 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS

5 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS

2014-08-19Bolton Wanderers 1 – 2 Middlesbrough FC

2015-02-24Bolton Wanderers 0 – 1 Middlesbrough FC

2015-08-15Bolton Wanderers 0 – 3 Middlesbrough FC

2016-04-16Bolton Wanderers 1 – 2 Middlesbrough FC

2017-09-09Bolton Wanderers 0 – 3 Middlesbrough FC

2017-12-26Bolton Wanderers 0 – 2 Middlesbrough FC

2018-09-19Bolton Wanderers 0 – 2 Middlesbrough FC

2019-04-09Bolton Wanderers 0 – 2 Middlesbrough FC

TEAM NEWS

BOLTON WANDERERS

Out: C. Forino-Joseph (Groin Injury), C. Forino-Joseph (Groin Injury)

MIDDLESBROUGH FC

Out: A. Jones (Calf Injury), R. Pukstas (Injury), D. Strelec (Injury), A. Jones (Calf Injury), R. Pukstas (Injury), D. Strelec (Injury)

TRENDS

Bolton Wanderers have scored in 60% of their games.

Middlesbrough FC have scored in 90% of their games.

Bolton Wanderers kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Middlesbrough FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards