Match details. Premier Division, Regular Season - 35. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Tallaght Stadium, Dublin.
What's at stake. Shamrock Rovers are 1st on 65 points after 34 games, 3 points clear of Bohemians. Sligo Rovers FC are 10th on 24 points after 34 games, 13 points behind Drogheda United.
Form. Shamrock Rovers have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L. Sligo Rovers FC have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L.
The numbers. Shamrock Rovers score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Shamrock Rovers average 12.5 shots (5.5 on target), 4.9 corners and 3.6 cards a game, with 59% of the ball. Sligo Rovers FC score 0.2 and concede three a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Sligo Rovers FC average 8.6 shots (2.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Shamrock Rovers have won five, drawn one and lost four. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Shamrock Rovers won two and Sligo Rovers FC won two. The last time they met, on 3 Jul 2026, it finished Shamrock Rovers 2-1 Sligo Rovers FC: Shamrock Rovers had 16 shots to 7, 66% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 88% against the records' 57%.
The read. No firm call: Shamrock Rovers are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Shamrock Rovers the likelier winners; Shamrock Rovers are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Shamrock Rovers. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Shamrock Rovers are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Shamrock Rovers are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Shamrock Rovers 2-1 Sligo Rovers FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).