Match details. Premier Division, Regular Season - 35. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Eamonn Deacy Park, Galway.
What's at stake. Galway United FC are 7th on 41 points after 34 games, 1 point behind Dundalk, 4 points clear of Waterford. A win would take them above Dundalk. Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC are 3rd on 59 points after 34 games, 3 points behind Bohemians, 13 points clear of Shelbourne. A win would take them level on points with Bohemians. Galway United FC have nothing left to play for.
Form. Galway United FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D L. Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W.
The numbers. Galway United FC score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Galway United FC average 10.1 shots (3.8 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 34% of the ball. Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC score 1.8 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC average 17.8 shots (5.8 on target), 6.1 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Galway United FC have won two, drawn three and lost four. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, two were drawn and Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC won two. The last time they met, on 3 Jul 2026, it finished Galway United FC 0-3 Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC: Galway United FC had 9 shots to 24, 36% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%; five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC 1UP (no side to back). Predicted score: Galway United FC 1-1 Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).