Douglas Haig vs CA Linqueno
Match details. Torneo Federal A. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time.
Form. Douglas Haig have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L W. CA Linqueno have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L D.
The numbers. Douglas Haig score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Douglas Haig average 13.5 shots (4.0 on target), 5.2 corners and 1.9 cards a game. CA Linqueno score one and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CA Linqueno average 5.8 shots (1.5 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.20, 76% on the records (Douglas Haig: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; CA Linqueno: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Leave: Douglas Haig or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); CA Linqueno or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Douglas Haig 1-1 CA Linqueno (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).