Match details. Torneo Federal A. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time.
Form. CA Alvarado have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D L. Club Cipolletti have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W.
The numbers. CA Alvarado score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. CA Alvarado average 11.7 shots (2.4 on target), 4.9 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Club Cipolletti score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Club Cipolletti average 7.1 shots (3.1 on target), 2.1 corners and 3.1 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 22%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CA Alvarado 1-1 Club Cipolletti (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).