Hobro IK vs Vendsyssel FF
Match details. 1. Division, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at DS Arena, Hobro.
What's at stake. Hobro IK are 7th on 14 points after 11 games, level on points with Aarhus Fremad, 2 points clear of Kolding IF. A win would take them above Aarhus Fremad. Vendsyssel FF are 10th on 10 points after 11 games, level on points with HB Koge, 1 point clear of Hillerød. A win would take them above HB Koge.
Form. Hobro IK have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D L. Vendsyssel FF have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L D.
The numbers. Hobro IK score 0.8 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Hobro IK average 4.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Vendsyssel FF score 1.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Vendsyssel FF average 5.7 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Hobro IK have won five, drawn one and lost three. Six of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Hobro IK won two and Vendsyssel FF won two. The last time they met, on 5 Aug 2026, it finished Hobro IK 0-4 Vendsyssel FF.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%; six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Vendsyssel FF's record still gives them 28% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%. Not everything agrees on goals: six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The read. Hobro IK to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Hobro IK are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Hobro IK; the meetings favour Hobro IK. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.37, 73% on the records (Hobro IK: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Vendsyssel FF: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.22. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Hobro IK 1-0 Vendsyssel FF (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).