Match details. Liga DIMAYOR, Clausura - 14. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
What's at stake. Atletico Nacional are 3rd on 26 points after 13 games, 2 points behind America de Cali, level on points with Millonarios. A win would take them above America de Cali. AD Pasto are 20th on 9 points after 13 games, 1 point behind Jaguares. A win would take them above Jaguares.
Form. Atletico Nacional have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W D. In this competition Atletico Nacional have gone L W D W D L. AD Pasto have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W W. In this competition AD Pasto have gone L D L W W D.
The numbers. Atletico Nacional score 1.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Atletico Nacional average 15.8 shots (5.5 on target), 6.5 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 65% of the ball. AD Pasto score 0.6 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. AD Pasto average 12.9 shots (3.3 on target), 4.4 corners and 3.4 cards a game, with 58% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Atletico Nacional have won eight, drawn two and lost none. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Atletico Nacional won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 29 Mar 2026, it finished Atletico Nacional 2-1 AD Pasto: Atletico Nacional had 11 shots to 15, 50% of the ball, nine yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The read. Atletico Nacional to win. Their goals for and against make Atletico Nacional the likelier winners; Atletico Nacional are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Atletico Nacional; the meetings favour Atletico Nacional.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: AD Pasto Over 0.5 goals (AD Pasto's own games don't back it (5 of 10)). Predicted score: Atletico Nacional 1-0 AD Pasto (11% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Atletico Nacional or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · ADP 7 of 10 (70%)81.3%
Atletico Nacional: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · AD Pasto: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 6 of 6 · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at AD Pasto's level · AD Pasto: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level
2nd Half - Draw No Bet: Atletico NacionalIN CODES
1.12
ATL 5 of 5 (100%) · ADP 3 of 6 (50%)75%
Atletico Nacional: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · AD Pasto: the bet landed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 4 · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at AD Pasto's level · AD Pasto: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level · won 3, refunded 4, lost 2
Atletico Nacional or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.16
ATL 3 of 5 (60%) · ADP 6 of 10 (60%)70%
Atletico Nacional: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · AD Pasto: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · H2H 6 of 6 · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at AD Pasto's level · AD Pasto: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level
Atletico Nacional to Win Either Half: YesPAGE ONLY
1.13
ATL 3 of 5 (60%) · ADP 6 of 10 (60%)70%
Atletico Nacional: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · AD Pasto: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at AD Pasto's level · AD Pasto: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level
1st Half Result or Match Result: Atletico NacionalPAGE ONLY
1.13
ATL 3 of 5 (60%) · ADP 6 of 10 (60%)70%
Atletico Nacional: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · AD Pasto: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at AD Pasto's level · AD Pasto: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level
1X2 - 2UP: Atletico NacionalLEANHELD · the odds board 82%
1.22
ATL 3 of 5 (60%) · ADP 4 of 6 (67%)58.9%
Atletico Nacional scored first 3 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 3 · led by 2 or won in 4 of 6 at home · AD Pasto trailed by 2 or lost in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
Atletico Nacional to WinLEANHELD · the odds board 79%
1.27
ATL 3 of 5 (60%) · ADP 5 of 10 (50%)52.8%
Atletico Nacional won 3 of 5 at home · AD Pasto lost 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55% · H2H 5 of 6 · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at AD Pasto's level · AD Pasto: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level
Atletico Nacional or draw and both teams scoreSETTLEDPAGE ONLY
2.30
ATL 3 of 5 (60%) · ADP 3 of 10 (30%)50.4%
Atletico Nacional: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · AD Pasto: the bet landed in 3 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 45% · H2H 4 of 6 · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at AD Pasto's level · AD Pasto: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level · rule 2: the meetings back Atletico Nacional: in the last 10 meetings, Atletico Nacional won 8 and 2 were drawn; in the la
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 5 of 5 (100%) · ADP 10 of 10 (100%)95%
Atletico Nacional: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · AD Pasto: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 6 of 6 · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at AD Pasto's level · AD Pasto: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · ADP 9 of 10 (90%)92.1%
Atletico Nacional: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · AD Pasto: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 6 of 6 · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at AD Pasto's level · AD Pasto: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.19
ATL 5 of 5 (100%) · ADP 10 of 10 (100%)87.6%
Atletico Nacional: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · AD Pasto: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 6 of 6 · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at AD Pasto's level · AD Pasto: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
2.25
ATL 3 of 5 (60%) · ADP 3 of 10 (30%)50.5%
Atletico Nacional: both scored in 3 of 5 at home · AD Pasto: both scored in 3 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 45% · H2H 4 of 6 · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at AD Pasto's level · AD Pasto: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level
ATLETICO NACIONAL GOALS
Atletico Nacional Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · ADP 7 of 10 (70%)80.8%
Atletico Nacional scored in 4 of 5 at home · AD Pasto conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 6 of 6 · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at AD Pasto's level · AD Pasto: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level
AD PASTO GOALS
AD Pasto Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.11
ATL 9 of 10 (90%) · ADP 5 of 5 (100%)74.9%
AD Pasto scored under 1.5 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Nacional conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 6 · AD Pasto: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at AD Pasto's level
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 6 of 8 (75%) · ADP 6 of 7 (86%)87%
Atletico Nacional's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AD Pasto's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at AD Pasto's level · AD Pasto: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level
Left off the list: AD Pasto Over 0.5 goals (AD Pasto's own games don't back it (5 of 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–011.4%
Atletico Nacional goals →
AD Pasto goals ↓
0-08%
1-011%
2-010%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.7%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-23%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-31%
1-32%
2-31%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.3%
1-40.4%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
ATLETICO NACIONALWWWWLDWDWL2.00 PPG
AD PASTOLLDLDWWLDL0.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ATLETICO NACIONAL HOMExAD PASTO AWAY
2.00SCORED A GAME0.601.00CONCEDED A GAME1.2030%CLEAN SHEETS30%29%FAILED TO SCORE32%6.50CORNERS A GAME4.432.38CARDS A GAME3.431.24xG1.230.75xG AGAINST0.87
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.92POINTS A GAME1.00+0.83GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.20+5.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+4.01.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.012LEAGUE GAMES5
Atletico Nacional: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
66%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
44%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
90%
OKAY · 85/90
ATLETICO NACIONAL OR DRAW
86%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
AD PASTO OR DRAW
69%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
ATLETICO NACIONALxAD PASTO
5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.000.80CONCEDED A GAME1.202.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.260%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE60%5.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES6.29.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.2
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
ATLETICO NACIONAL 8 · 80%DRAW 2AD PASTO 0 · 0%
6 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
8 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
6 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2023-05-20Atletico Nacional 1 – 1 AD Pasto
2023-06-18Atletico Nacional 3 – 2 AD Pasto
2023-08-25Atletico Nacional 2 – 0 AD Pasto
2024-03-24Atletico Nacional 1 – 0 AD Pasto
2024-10-06Atletico Nacional 2 – 1 AD Pasto
2024-11-24Atletico Nacional 1 – 0 AD Pasto
2024-12-05Atletico Nacional 2 – 1 AD Pasto
2025-04-30Atletico Nacional 3 – 0 AD Pasto
TRENDS
Atletico Nacional have scored in 70% of their games.
AD Pasto have scored in 60% of their games.
Atletico Nacional kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
AD Pasto kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards