IF Elfsborg vs Malmo
Malmo scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · IF Elfsborg conceded under 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 6 · Malmo: only games against sides at IF Elfsborg's level · IF Elfsborg: only games against sides at Malmo's level
Match details. Allsvenskan, Regular Season - 25. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Borås Arena, Boras. The referee is Granit Maqedonci.
What's at stake. IF Elfsborg are 5th on 41 points after 24 games, 1 point behind BK Hacken, 3 points clear of Vasteras SK FK. A win would take them above BK Hacken. Malmo are 7th on 36 points after 24 games, 2 points behind Vasteras SK FK, level on points with IFK Goteborg. A win would take them above Vasteras SK FK.
Team news. IF Elfsborg are without V. Elfstrom (inactive), L. Hagg (inactive), M. Rohden (muscle injury), V. Elfstrom (inactive), L. Hagg (inactive), M. Rohden (muscle injury). Malmo are without I. Assibu (inactive), K. Busuladzic (injury), P. Jansson (knee injury), N. John (inactive), W. Kamanzi (muscle injury), Y. Karabelyov (inactive).
Form. IF Elfsborg have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L. In this competition IF Elfsborg have gone D W W W L W. Malmo have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W D. In this competition Malmo have gone L W L W D W.
The numbers. IF Elfsborg score 1.9 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. IF Elfsborg average 13.6 shots (4.9 on target), 5.9 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Malmo score one and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. Malmo average 17.1 shots (5.8 on target), 6.2 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings IF Elfsborg have won four, drawn two and lost three. Seven of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, IF Elfsborg won one, one was drawn and Malmo won two. The last time they met, on 26 Jul 2026, it finished IF Elfsborg 2-1 Malmo: IF Elfsborg had 9 shots to 12, 39% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%; seven of the last nine meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Malmo's record still gives them 35% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. IF Elfsborg to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make IF Elfsborg the likelier winners; IF Elfsborg are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour IF Elfsborg. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%. Seven of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.23, 74% on the records (IF Elfsborg: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10; Malmo: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 10). Full cover: Malmo Under 1.5 Goals at 1.47. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: IF Elfsborg or Draw & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Malmo Over 0.5 goals (IF Elfsborg's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); 1X2 - 2UP: IF Elfsborg (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: IF Elfsborg 2-1 Malmo (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).